Cutting 50 is a piece of cake...
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ The first essential sign of an uptrend is for the 2-year bond price to drop significantly first, but if the 1% 30-year bond yield decreases and TLT rises by about 20% while TMF triples that (although actually slightly lower). If this continues, with each interest rate cut by the FRB, the stock market sentiment should be positive, causing long-term bond yields to continue to rise throughout the year, pushing prices down. Despite the drop, unlike in the past, the base is becoming too cheap, so if TMF, for example, touches 45 and then, even if the 30-year bond yield decreases by 1% at that time, the target would be around 70, 1.6 times 45. In the past, with base prices of 150 or even higher, the amount of increase would be much larger. Furthermore, the bonds targeted by TLT are from the low-interest rate era averaging less than 3% since 2014, so the comparative increase is also low, isn't it? Going beyond 100 is significant and requires patience for a major recession. Hmm, it's cheap, but since it's not a time to rise, is it a buy time?
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NAS100、SOXメイン。債券はチャンス待ちで今は見てるだけ^_^TMFもEDVもFOMC後一旦利確済み。今の動きじゃ入れば為替とダブル損。
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