Forward order: Last weekend the system had already analyzed ...
Forward order: Last weekend the system had already analyzed that the large cap should attempt a new high of 5670-5700 this week. However, yesterday nvda's performance was delayed, but the trend should still be heading towards a new high. So, don't easily short the stock market. Yesterday, I went all in sell put nvda, which already represents my cautious long position rather than shorting the stock market.
If I buy back nvda, I will split the purchases into several batches. The first batch at 112, the second batch at 100, the third batch at 85-90, the fourth batch at 78. I will only exit above 137 in the long run. Once purchased this time, do not make any changes. This will take about two months.
Everyone should understand what I'm saying, otherwise I'll have to explain many times. When I said Nvda falling below 100 only has a 26 percent chance, I was referring to the results after today's performance or by the end of this week, not that it will never fall below 100 in the future. So my position allocation for these weeks is 78-85. Today, I'm all in for selling put options at 95-100 for this week. After this week ends, if it doesn't fall below 100, I will make a profit and then go back to 70 percent cash. At that time, I will have money to buy the actual stock of Nvda. I believe Nvda will consolidate for a period of time before rebounding to 137, which will take two months. The extreme low is still 78 unless there is a black swan event. $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$ $E-mini S&P 500 Futures(DEC4) (ESmain.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$
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74245602 : Nice input