A spoonful of hot inflation makes the markets go down. Tesla shares appear ripe to potentially move up over the longer term after the EV selloff. Flight Centre could be due for a rally
From YouTube
A spoonful of hot inflation makes the markets go down… That could be the song of the day, and markets are hit with a dose of reality. US producer inflation came in hotter than expected, and the Fed Chair signaled the central bank is not in any hurry to cut rates as the US economy is in “remarkably good” shape. So, the S&P 500 $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ fell 0.6%, closing at the low of the day. This suggests selling pressure picked up in the session, with dip buyers unable to save the day.
So what’s happening? Well, the reality is markets could pull back here as traders come to terms with there being a lesser chance of a 0.25% US rate cut in December. Bets were shaved down from an 82.5% chance of a rate cut next month to now a 59% chance. So the US dollar rose, hitting a new two-year high, while investors bought into government bonds, sending yields a tad lower at 4.4%.
What do you need to know if you buy or hold stocks?
The most selling in stocks overnight was in automakers, while investors bought into fashion names, movies, and entertainment stocks like Walt Disney, which jumped on reported stronger profits. Meanwhile, investors were buying lower-volatility stocks in the Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF $Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF (SPLV.US)$ , which garnered US$1.5 billion in buy orders last night. This suggests traders are not overly bearish, yet believe markets could be strong but bumpy ahead, as inflation and interest rates could cause market jitters. So, while there’s room for a pullback, some investors are positioning for the long term, taking a positive view on markets in the year ahead, which is why US$3.2 billion was bought in the S&P 500 overnight.
In terms of stocks to watch:
Tesla $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ shares fell 6%, and Rivian $Rivian Automotive (RIVN.US)$ slumped 14%—its biggest drop since February—as President-elect Donald Trump is said to be planning to kill the $7,500 EV subsidy as part of tax reform. The potential removal of US federal electric vehicle tax credits would dent EV makers' sales and future earnings. But you’d think Trump’s administration would introduce another incentive to replace it. Regardless, Musk actually called for the “removal of all government subsidies, including those for EVs, oil, and gas.” That’s what he posted on X.
So if you are looking at Tesla shares, consider that they’re the biggest EV seller in the US and may be better positioned than others to manage without incentives. And if Musk launches Tesla's cheapest EV yet next year, as they’re planning to, with a $22,000 price tag, that would be a game-changer. The icing on the cake would also be Tesla getting government approval for the Cybercab service in the US. So what does Tesla’s chart suggest? Well, its weekly chart shows it could head higher over the longer term as the MACD indicates Tesla has momentum to head up. But Tesla’s daily chart tells us it could face profit-taking. Tesla shares are up 124% from their April low and hit a three-year high of $358.64 after Trump’s victory. Overnight Tesla closed at $311.
What else to watch?
Well, Australia’s tech sector $Alphatec (ATEC.US)$ and travel stocks are worth watching for several reasons. They look like they could be supported higher as Australian bond yields are lower today.
Flight Centre’s $Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (FLT.AU)$ shares rose over 3% as it continued its 11% jump up from its October low. FLT’s chart suggests its shares could move higher as it’s oversold. Consensus sees its shares growing 19% in a year.
Yesterday Flight Centre reported that it’s not likely to achieve its 2% underlying profit before tax growth this year as corporate sector bookings are down and airfares are lower. Its quarterly profits rose just 2%, and it sees full-year profits being between $365 to $405 million. But what you need to know is that its profit growth is about the same as an Australian bank, but it’s classified as a tech stock and likely to benefit from integrating four AI projects in the business with a dozen more AI projects in the pipeline.
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only.
Read more
Comment
Sign in to post a comment
Stock_Drift : - YouTube Seattles Best.
151740845 Stock_Drift : Ioioooooooooooooooooooioo
151453268 witso : That was a spoonful of hot analytics