XRP, Quantum, cryptocurrencies... Which stocks are the main players in the theme to watch? Benefits expected to continue through Trump trade [Japan stock outlook for 25 years]

moomooニュース日本株 wrote a column · Jan 8 09:17

The Tokyo stock market is expected to be on an upward trend in 2025Many market participants are anticipating this. Expectations are high that economic growth and a rise in stocks due to the policies of the next US President, Trump, will also benefit the domestic market. According to a survey of strategists by Bloomberg, the 25-year Nikkei average stock price isexpected to rise up to 43,000 yen at the median, reaching an all-time highandas predicted to renew the all-time highin 1977:As US stocks become noticeably expensive, there is a high possibility that Japanese stocks will once again attract attention from overseas investors.While the Bank of Japan has taken the first step towards a policy shift to a world with interest rates, there is a reassuring feeling of buying as the pace of rate hikes is likely to be gradual. We have picked up popular stocks that are expected to face strong upward pressure based on themes of interest and charts.

XRP, Quantum, cryptocurrencies... Which stocks are the main players in the theme to watch? Benefits expected to continue through Trump trade [Japan stock outloo...

AI Semiconductors and Datacenters
The first half of 2024 Manufacturers of advanced semiconductor devices such as GPUs (graphic processing semiconductors) and HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) used for AI driving have been in the spotlight, with related stocks generally rising. Advanced semiconductor device manufacturers such as these are attracting attention, and related stocks have generally risen, but the latter half Concerns over the strengthening of US export restrictions on ChinaETCMainly declining among manufacturing equipment manufacturers highly dependent on ChinaThe relationship with the US prevented a collapse... $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$との関係が深い $Advantest (6857.JP)$など一部で、代わりに電線の $Fujikura (5803.JP)$etcThe rise in AI peripheral equipment-related stocks stood out.has been prominent. Since the beginning of the new year, among semiconductor-related stocks that have been in the bottom price range, including major core stocks, $Tokyo Electron (8035.JP)$や $Disco (6146.JP)$Next,shows signs of a reversal in the upward trendand $Nomura Micro Science (6254.JP)$や、 $Micronics Japan (6871.JP)$stocks that were popular last year also soared,How far can the rally go?is attracting attention.

◆ $Advantest (6857.JP)$: Used for AITest equipment for HBM is performing well.: Lightweight optical cables developed in-house are highly sought after for AI purposes. Leading the way among the three major cable companies, it continues to maintain its strength.
◆ $Fujikura (5803.JP)$: Lightweight optical cables developed in-house are highly sought after for AI purposes and are considered to be in high demand. Among the three major cable companies, it has taken the lead in the rising market and maintained its strength.
◆ $Dai-Dan (1980.JP)$Orders for semiconductor plants and data centers are strong.

Quantum computer
The next-generation high-speed computer, "quantum computer", which is expected to solve complex problems that take decades with existing supercomputers in minutes, isexpected to be utilized in fields such as AI machine learning, drug discovery, and cryptography.On December 9 last year, Google announceda semiconductor "Willow" for quantum computersin the United States market following the announcement. $IonQ Inc (IONQ.US)$や $Rigetti Computing (RGTI.US)$ Small stocks related to quantum computer have surged. Although these US-related stocks are mostly in the red, domestically, related stocks with relatively solid financial foundations are being bought. Since the new year, $Nippon RAD (4736.JP)$や $Ubiquitous AI (3858.JP)$、 $Fusic (5256.JP)$、 $BlueMeme (4069.JP)$、 $NF Holdings (6864.JP)$the focus on small-cap stocks with a market capitalization of less than 10 billion yen, such as, has been noticeably expanding.

◆ $Fixstars (3687.JP)$Collaborating with D-Wave Systems, a quantum computer development company in Canada. Currently setting record high net profits consecutively. High ROE.
◆ $Intelligent Wave (4847.JP)$Atos offers the quantum simulator 'Atos QLM' equipped with high-capacity memory that can perform quantum software development and simulation.
◆ $BrainPad (3655.JP)$Engaged in a research project to support the implementation of AI and LLM (Large Language Model) in society.
◆ $HPC Systems (6597.JP)$NVIDIA's elite partner company offers a cloud service 'Qamuy' for performing quantum chemistry calculations using high-performance computing, software programs, and quantum algorithms.
◆ $TerraSky (3915.JP)$ USA: $Salesforce (CRM.US)$and the introduction of AWS cloud. Subsidiary Quemix is engaged in the research and development of quantum computers.

Cryptocurrency (virtual currency)
Expectations that the next U.S. Trump administration will move to ease regulation of virtual currenciesled to a sudden influx of speculative funds. In addition, concerns about inflation and currency devaluation due to President Trump's tariff increases and permanent tax cutsseem likely to accelerate the inflow of funds into cryptocurrencies. In the USA, long-term investors such as public pension funds are expanding their holdings of Bitcoin ETFs. Individual related stocks in Japan and the USA are soaring, and the sense of caution is growing. However, the leading U.S. asset manager, Blackrock, has aportfolio in place with precautions against inflation and currency devaluation pushing funds into cryptocurrencies.In the USA, long-term investors like public pension funds are expanding their holdings of Bitcoin ETFs. Individual related stocks in Japan and the USA are soaring, and the sense of caution is growing. However, the leading U.S. asset manager, Blackrock, has a portfolio in place with precautions against inflation and currency devaluation pushing funds into cryptocurrencies.There is room to allocate 1-2% to Bitcoin.indicates a perspective that

◆ $Metaplanet (3350.JP)$ From April 24, every month $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$has been buying. It has also been adopted in the US blockchain-related ETFs.
◆ $Ceres (3696.JP)$Affiliate business as the main pillar,Operating a cryptocurrency exchange called Coin Trade, and blockchain businessAlso involved in various other projects.
◆ $Remixpoint (3825.JP)$By the end of 2024, I bought Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Avalanche, Dogecoin, and XRP for a total of 5 billion yen. The unrealized gains amount to approximately 0.76 billion yen.
◆ $Monex Group (8698.JP)$In December 2024, the subsidiary, Japan's largest exchange "Coincheck," was listed on the US Nasdaq market.

Defense and space
The increase in defense spending under the Kishida administration and the escalation of the conflict between Ukraine and Russia have attracted attention since the beginning.Ensuring financial resourcesSpecific measures and alliances for the incoming administrationIncreased defense burdenTrump, the next US president, is calling forFurther buying is increasing due to the escalation of tensions between Taiwan and China. According to Bloomberg Intelligence (BI), in the guidance for the fiscal year 2024, aerospace and defense sectors account for 22% of Mitsubishi Heavy Industries' profit, 65% of IHI's profit, and 34% of Kawasaki Heavy Industries' profit.It is also expected that Mitsubishi Heavy Industries will benefit the most from the expansion of defense-related budgets, followed by Kawasaki Heavy Industries.

◆ $Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011.JP)$ Defense Equipment Agency's contract performance in the fiscal year 2023Ranking first with 1.68 trillion yen in defense contracts, including defense hypersonic glide missilesIn addition to defense, the nuclear-related sector is also doing well.
◆ $Kawasaki Heavy Industries (7012.JP)$Despite a series of scandals, the stock price is maintaining its strength as the Defense Equipment Agency has no other domestic companies to nominate for submarine delivery and other contracts.
◆ $IHI (7013.JP)$Strong in aviation engines, large boilers, rocket-related products etc. Operated by the Ministry of Defense.Responsible for the development and production of aircraft engines, with the Ministry of Defense as the main contractor.Responsible for all models of fighter jet engines.

Financial stocks
The extent to which domestic interest rates will rise is uncertain, but the historical significance of the Bank of Japan's policy shift is profound. While the US dollar remains strong, it is expected that there will be a certain degree of upward pressure on yen interest rates with the inauguration of the next US President, Donald Trump.Expectations for interest rate spreads to improve remain strong.In addition, Michael Barr, Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board (in charge of financial supervision), who was positive about strengthening financial regulations, has indicated his intention to resign at the end of February to avoid a conflict with the upcoming Trump administration.There is speculation about a relaxation of regulations, which may provide tailwinds for financial stocks in Japan and the United States.：The largest domestic megabank group and overseas banks are also performing strongly.

◆ $Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (8306.JP)$The largest domestic mega bank group, overseas banks are also performing well.
◆ $SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163.JP)$Expecting increased revenue from the housing loan business. It was reported last November that NTT DoCoMo would acquire the company.
◆ $Sompo Holdings (8630.JP)$Currently selling policy holding shares and planning to reduce them to zero by the end of the fiscal year 2030. Shareholder returns are well received.

IP & Casino
Character powerhousesIn Japan, a country known for its strong intellectual property (IP), there are many brands with global influence. Additionally, the scheduled opening of an Integrated Resort (IR) including a casino in the autumn of 2030 in Osaka will become a highlight in Japan's entertainment sector.Integrated resorts (IR) including casinos will also be a highlight in Japan's entertainment sector. President-elect Trump of the USA had also been involved in casino operations. due to his background in the casino business.Casino-related is one of the 'Trump Trades'.It can also be said.

◆ $Sanrio (8136.JP)$: License revenue exceeds expectations in North America and China.
◆ $Nintendo (7974.JP)$ Expectations high for the release of the successor to the Nintendo Switch.
◆ $Sun (6736.JP)$Planning, designing, and manufacturing of gaming machines. Added to the MSCI Global Small Cap Index last August.
◆ $Konami Group (9766.JP)$Selling casino machines in the USA and Australia. Selling pachislot machines domestically.

The Nikkei Stock Average in the 24th year fluctuated greatly, hitting a record low drop after reaching its peak in July, known as the "Reiwa Black Monday" in August. Although the upside was heavy afterwards, the downside has been firmly rising.