Anxiously waiting for AMD's financial report.
Although I was lucky to sell half of my positions before the sharp drop in AMD, it is still my largest holding. And I added some around 150. So I still feel very anxious.
The main focus of the financial report is on the outlook, how much is the growth rate of the ai chip market, and whether amd can quickly grab more market share. As the second in the high-performance computing sector, amd is indeed lagging behind quite a bit this time. Nvidia has a market share of over 90%, while amd is still below 5% (as for Intel, it belongs to 'other' and can be ignored). The market share of the second in the industry should account for at least 10% to be reasonable. So amd still needs to make efforts.
As for $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Now it's starting to make up for the decline. I bought some at 110 before, and now I'm in a bit of a loss, but the position is small, so it doesn't matter. If amd's financial report is not good, Nvidia may really see two-digit prices. That's two words: very tasty. I will definitely buy back some.
There are too many major events this week, but regardless of whether there is an economic slowdown, when the Fed will cut interest rates, at least for now, the ai chip sector doesn't seem to have any major problems. If there are issues, other industries are likely to suffer more. For example, the consumer sector has already collapsed, even P&G is struggling to sustain (see the following stocks, all plummeted to what extent: $Nike (NKE.US)$ , $Lululemon Athletica (LULU.US)$ , $Starbucks (SBUX.US)$ , $LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton (LVMUY.US)$ )
So, I remain bullish on ai chips. Buy whoever falls the most between nvda and amd. If the seven major technology stocks plummet, it is also a good opportunity to buy low.
In terms of defense, I continue to be optimistic about public utilities, especially traditional energy companies. $Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU.US)$ , especially traditional energy generation companies.
Operating plan: If amd drops after the financial report, we will see what the reason is. If the outlook is okay, we will continue to increase our holdings. If the outlook is not good, we will switch to nvda.
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Continue to watch the fluctuation between 210-260, add positions on dips.
For related public utilities, hold positions and do not move, especially since the dividends are also good.
For the seven major technology companies, buy whoever's valuation returns to reasonable levels after a decline.
Small cap stocks: I will not participate. The fundamentals are just like that. The so-called interest rate cut dividends are all speculative. If it weren't for the fact that big technology stocks are too expensive, triggering sector rotation, there would be no chance for them in the market. We must wait until the performance truly improves to have investment value.
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104063221 : I think AMD result can provide some kind of hint how GPU demand is ... I hope it remains strong demand for AMD and thus NVIDIA
ISTJ : The recent magnitude of the decline is higher than that of peers.priced inPart of the financial report expectations, the market's expectations for amd can be said to be very low, almost the difficulty of graduating from kindergarten. I think the worst case scenario is to fall to the end of last year.amd~130~135Range. If the result is slightly better than expected, there may be a chance for a rebound to150approximately
ChartTrader : I buy AMD Call and Nvidia Put tonight
wangcaifan :