American football 🏉
The long-term earnings of the stock market depend on two points: 1. The country's economy, 2. Will economic growth be fed back to the stock market. Regarding the second point, US stocks should be the best stock market in the world, so the long-term trend of US stocks depends entirely on the US economy.
However, when it comes to short-term trends, such as swing trading over a period of several months, the game between long and short sides plays a critical role. Since it's a game, are there any sports that are very similar to the stock market?
As the title says, I found that American Football 🏉 is really similar to US stocks.
Even if you don't watch rugby in the US, most of them know how to play football, because rugby is so popular and the most watched sporting event. For friends who aren't in the US, you probably don't know much. Rugby scores mainly by bringing the ball to the opponent's bottom line. Break the opponent's bottom line and score six points. In each round of offensive power, the attacking side has four chances to advance 10 yards. If they succeed, they will gain a new round of offensive rights again, and there will still be four chances to advance by 10 yards.
In other words, if you make great strides along the way, you can score points directly at the opponent's bottom line, which is very impressive.
However, conversely, if they fail on the fourth attempt, they will immediately lose their right to attack and defend in exchange.
Generally speaking, attackers only try 3 times in a round of attack. The fourth attack was mostly based on defensive strategies, that is, abandoning offense, finding a favorable defensive position for oneself, and defending instead. This is because, for those forced to move from attack to defense, it is better to take the initiative to choose a good battlefield to exchange places.
Back to the stock market. If it is a critical point, once the longs/bears successfully break through, they can continue to make great strides. However, if you are unable to break through even after three attempts, then you should consider switching from attacking to defending, and swapping long and short. Therefore, band operation should only be performed at critical points.
Rugby is making great strides, and in the end, they have to break the opponent's bottom line. After that, points were scored, offense and defense were exchanged. Stock trading is also the same. Whether it's up or down, if you break the opponent's bottom line all the way too hard, then you should score points. Profits come to an end, and the bottom line is safe. After that, I'm afraid long and short will probably be exchanged.
In rugby, an unexpected exchange of power is rare, and there are usually major mistakes. In the stock market, long and short transitions are not that easy, unless there is a major event.
In rugby, attackers may also run backwards first, and in the stock market, there are also frequent fake falls. So a backward break may be false, but a forward breakthrough is mostly real.
I've finished telling the story of rugby. These thoughts have given me something to share with you. If you don't play the band, you can also have fun, or try to buy a long-term hold close to the low end of the band.
Back to the stock market:
$Apple(AAPL.US$ , returning to the 170 critical position for the third time. If a break is not possible, it is likely that the bulls will regain control.
$Tesla(TSLA.US$ Financial reports are exploding. Currently, they are stuck on the annual line. It should not be broken out all of a sudden; it may continue to be a drag for a while. I reduced my position on rallies yesterday. Currently, my position is 1%.
$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US$ The Nasdaq is similar; its current position is critical.
Many stocks are in such an amazing position.
$Alphabet-C(GOOG.US$ I think the killing was too bad. Tesla's earnings report was so bad, it dropped 9% on the same day. Google's earnings report isn't that bad; it's down 9%![]()
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Maybe it's because it was inflated before. However, I made up 2% of Google and currently hold 2% of my position.
$Microsoft(MSFT.US$ The performance is really strong, but they are also going high and low, and market confidence is insufficient.
As for $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$ I didn't increase my position when the boss made up for it. Because making up for bears is not the same as bulls going to the bottom. It has been a long time, and it is impossible to reverse the trend once the bottom is reached. Just like in rugby, why don't you have to attack two or three times and then give up? So I'm waiting. The real bottom is often when bulls step on and run away rather than bears make up for it. However, today's price should not be far from the final bottom. I continue to pay close attention.
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本人散户，闲钱投资，名字为系统生成。这里记录投资感悟与趣事。所有言论都纯属娱乐，不是投资建议。此账号为本人唯一社媒平台。
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102764470 : Apple's price is too high to go for 150 at least
Seraphicall 102764470 : 100