Elias Chen commented on a stock · Aug 24, 2024 08:50

On Friday, August 23rd, Tesla's post-market recap chart analysis: short positions dominate, long positions prevail, long pass attacks and suspensions, quick defense and waiting for a breakthrough in fundamentals.

1. Human thoughts and emotions are like clouds. To live above the clouds is to be awake, to be shrouded in the clouds is to be lethargic.

2. People often underestimate what is close to them and overestimate what is far away.

3. Everyone shines because of love, but also looks worn out because of marriage.

4. Humor is the good-natured teasing of wisdom towards desire. Buffoonery is the absurdity and ridiculousness of desire itself.

1. Human thoughts and emotions are like clouds. To live above the clouds is to be awake, to be shrouded in the clouds is to be lethargic.

2. People often underestimate what is close to them and overestimate what is far away.

3. Everyone is radiant because of love, and everyone is disgraced because of marriage.

4. Humor is wisdom's benevolent teasing of will. The comic is the absurdity of the will itself.

Why did Tesla's stock price experience a rapid rebound?

The overall economic situation is fundamentally poor, with Tesla's PE ratio reaching 90 times in the 2024 fiscal year, and profit expectations for 2024 and 2025 fiscal years continue to decline. Elephant-level individual retirement accounts IRA and 401(K) hold retirement funds of Mutual Funds (Vanguard Group, Inc., State Street Global Advisors, also SSGA, Blackstone Group, the order matters) with abundant and massive funds, but they have strict scrutiny and control over investment symbols, such as Tesla, and cannot arbitrarily build long positions. They also fear holding stocks for a long time that significantly deviate from the basic fundamentals of listed companies and become overvalued. It would be disastrous if the unpredictable Morgan Stanley and cunning Goldman Sachs make moves with the market's power. Previously, Tesla's stock price fluctuated sharply from 299.290 to a low of 138.800, led by James "Jamie" Dimon from Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan. Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan, with their strength, stand up against Vanguard Group, Inc., Blackstone Group, State Street Global Advisors, the three major pillars of Wall Street, Tesla's three major shareholders. Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan are America's oldest and most powerful large banks.

Why does Tesla's stock price fluctuate between short positions and long positions?

Elephant-level individual retirement accounts IRA and 401(K) hold retirement funds of Mutual Funds recognizably see extraordinary potential in Tesla's self-driving FSD+RoboTaxi+Optimus humanoid robot+energy storage business, with the energy storage business rapidly rising and realizing profit financialization.

On Friday, August 23rd, Tesla's post-market recap chart analysis: short positions dominate, long positions prevail, long pass attacks and suspensions, quick def...

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1.60% of Tesla stock position will lock in Tesla's long-term trend and main trend objectives and directions for value investment, holding for the long term.

2.40% of Tesla position is used for investing and trading in the secondary trends, short-term trends, and intraday trends specific to Tesla. (Not making a move is a mistake)

Establish Special funds for deep-fall re-buy in Tesla: when Tesla's stock price enters the range of 211.700–182.000, with a planned and step-by-step approach, graded and batched, discrete random variables, to establish positions. Above 211.700, it is not considered to build new long positions (an exception if there are no long positions). Is 216.000 a balance point? It needs observation.

In principle, after everyone is bearish on the market, unwilling to buy and hold, and fearful of the downturn and adverse technical patterns and indicators, it is most ideal to position when the situation is at its worst. Ultimately, such operations need to overcome human weaknesses, and the results are also good. What needs to be done in the range of 211.700–210.200? To be determined, need to consider without long positions?

Vanguard, the world's largest asset management company, operates funds for American individual retirement accounts (IRAs) and 401(K) accounts, along with State Street Global Advisors, the world's third-largest asset management company, are the two major players in Tesla's planned and step-by-step, graded and batched, discrete random variable, position establishment during deep price falls. When establishing positions, it is better to have some deficiencies than excesses, and when selecting stock prices, it is better to go lower than higher.

In the end, the consequences of liking the rise and hating the fall, as well as chasing high and strong, will all show up. Tesla's PE ratio has already reached 90 times in the fiscal year 2024, and the profit expectations for the fiscal years 2024 and 2025 continue to decline. With slightly over 60% of long positions, there is no need to worry about the stock price rising. Going all-in or all-out is a completely different matter, and it is very unwise. A person without long-term planning and who does not value the psychological health of investment trading will not go far, even if Tesla has the potential to challenge the ranges of 217,000-299,290-314,800, and even higher ranges of 414,490-515,000, you won't be able to hold on to the floating profit chips in your hand.

There is a kind of 'self-righteous' people like this: they have very high demands on others, expecting them to be saints, needing to explain the bullish and bearish views clearly, and even predicting the price levels accurately, otherwise they simply look down on them. As for themselves, they behave like this: won't buy stocks if they don't rise? Like to chase high prices and strong stocks? Uncomfortable if stocks and funds are not trapped? Uncomfortable if investment trading funds are not fully utilized? Uncomfortable if not operating fully invested? Always hoping for when they will escape their predicament?

Elias=Jerome, the iron law of trading warfare in the JC family (it can't be emphasized enough):

Win in bear markets; win in volatility; win in courage; win in wisdom; win in composure; win in learning; win in change; win in adaptation; win in mathematics; win in physics; win in models; win in functions; win in oscillations; win in quantification; win in frameworks; win in moderation; win in probability; win in technology; win in psychology; win in dexterity; win in flexibility; win in oscillations; win in long-term; win in investment; win in mentality; win in forgiveness.

Lose in closed-mindedness; lose in self; lose in rigidity; lose in self-abandonment; lose in self-deception; lose in chasing highs; lose in chasing strength; lose in overtrading; lose in stagnant growth; lose in one-sidedness; lose in gambling; lose in defense positions; lose in full positions; lose in financing; lose in liquidation; lose in perpetual motion; lose in gambling; lose in complaining; lose in excuses; lose in blaming; lose in wishful thinking; lose in plans; lose in predictions; lose in short term gains; lose in impatience; lose in greed; lose in mindset.

98% of people can never get rid of the mentality of liking rises and hating falls, and making forecasts. Without a certain proportion of protective funds and battle sequences as a strong and powerful backing for various plans, 98% of people can only end up in failure. Investment trading is for a living, not to be enslaved by stocks, not for battling opinions (JC does not engage in opinion battles and has no interest). It is about winning in investment trading.

Alarm bell rings: The first and last chapters of the Book of Wisdom both write 'There is no such thing as a free lunch in the world.' Don't expect to make money without hard work by just looking at others' post-market replay charts analysis. Here, at this moment, all JC's posts are personal expressions before, during and after the market, research and exploration, without emotional views, stock recommendations, or spiritual chicken soup, which cannot be used as the basis for trading. Therefore, the resulting gains and losses in trading can only be borne by oneself, regardless of profit or loss, all self-inflicted.

We were originally strangers, let alone in the financial realm. Even if you are capable, in this money-playing financial market, it's easy for others to see you as a swindler. Therefore, JC will never use research results as a means to give away money for free, because there's no need for it. Are there really any true friends in the financial market? Each person goes their own way, does their own thing, being firm without desires. JC won't depend on you, won't adhere to your ways, won't care about your opinion. Except for Jesus Christ (who is actually God, the Holy Trinity of the Father, the Son, and the Holy Spirit), JC fears no one.

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Elias Chen

成熟投资者：格局，概率，取舍。没有格局必然急功近利。不计概率会把运气当技术。不懂取舍，有所不为，最后必落入陷阱和圈套。

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