This time, it seems that the US stocks are really going to have a decent decline.
$Apple (AAPL.US)$ and $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ Leading the market crash, US stocks continue to decline. Among the most significant drops are the previously skyrocketing AI concept stocks, such as [insert name]. $Datadog (DDOG.US)$ ， $Upstart (UPST.US)$ and others.
Even true AI stocks have also dropped significantly, such as [insert name]. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ ， $Palantir (PLTR.US)$ and $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ Currently, there are only a few technology giants. $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ and $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ Relatively strong. $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ Also decent.
Because I hold $Unity Software (U.US)$ ， $Palantir (PLTR.US)$ and $Rivian Automotive (RIVN.US)$ and several other core positions that I haven't liquidated include $Qualcomm (QCOM.US)$ ， $Enphase Energy (ENPH.US)$ Such as, although each position is not large, but the total is a lot, can't stand the continuous decline, it's also quite painful.
Fortunately $The Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLV.US)$ ， $VanEck Agribusiness ETF (MOO.US)$ did not fall, $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE.US)$ and even rose a lot, so the current loss can still be sustained.
As for the hedge sqqq, I sold it yesterday, thinking it would rebound this year, but the result... but it doesn't matter, I don't plan to short. Just want to buy on the dips for a long position.
retirement funds, $iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM.US)$ I also didn't sell, after all, it's not very convenient to mess with that thing, I'm too lazy to bother. I think it should bounce back when it drops to 189.
Currently, technology stocks continue to be under pressure, while energy stocks benefit from the rise in oil & gas prices. So inflation... Not declining and still wanting to eliminate inflation, basically a pipe dream.
However, a question arises. In order to eliminate inflation, the economy must decline. But who will decline?
I have a bad feeling that the Chinese economy is going to have problems. Because the real estate sector seems to have a big problem. Evergrande, Country Garden, I'm sure you've heard of them. Real estate has always been the biggest risk to the Chinese economy, and I have complained about it many times before. High housing prices are harmful to the economy, self-occupied housing is not an asset, if self-occupied housing is too expensive, people won't spend money, and the economy can only rely on exports, it's impossible to have internal circulation. With the headwinds of export trade and the tightening caused by the Fed, China's housing prices are precarious. Once the real estate market collapses, the economy will be in danger.
That's why I haven't been touching Chinese stocks and China ETFs lately.
There are actually many ways to solve the real estate problem, but it is probably difficult to implement them, or unwilling to implement them, or even if there is a desire from the top, it cannot be carried out. I won't go into the reasons, it's politically sensitive. So, all we can do is hope that there won't be any problems with the country's economy. Once there are problems, there is a good method to shift domestic conflicts, and everyone understands.
So, I have also bought defense stocks. $General Dynamics (GD.US)$ $RTX Corp (RTX.US)$
$Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$ I liquidated them at around 100, and recently I haven't dared to touch them. Be cautious about anything related to South Korea as well.
The flooding in North China and Northeast China hasn't received much coverage in the mainstream media in China, and there is even an atmosphere of calm. There has been little discussion among my friends on social media, which surprises me. Looking back at the flood in 1998, it was a monumental battle. If there was social media at that time, it would probably be filled with posts every day. It's really strange. I feel like this flood is quite serious, praying for our compatriots. 🙏🏻
If the Chinese economy really goes bad, some stocks closely related to China will be affected, including Apple, Microsoft, and Tesla. Google, Amazon, and Meta should be fine, after all, they don't have much business in China. Is this the reason why they are not falling? No, this must be a conspiracy theory.
Will the agricultural products be in short supply due to the Russia-Ukraine war and natural disasters in China this year?
Since the COVID-19 outbreak, it feels like every year has been a year of multiple disasters. Could it really be the work of the Three-Body Problem? In fact, the COVID-19 virus is the Trisolarans, who have long since fully invaded the Earth.![]()
Sensitive political topics should not be discussed, I don't want to be censored.
As for the stock market, we can only wait for opportunities. Recently, the market sentiment has been quite low, so there is no need to blindly sell. Stocks like RIVN, PLTR, and the financial reports seem good to me, but have fallen so much, probably because they rose too much before. I'll wait for the decline to stabilize before buying, and they will definitely rise back up later, after all, the company's performance is moving in a positive direction. If it's junk stocks based on concept hype and AI, or futureless electric vehicles like LCID, I'd rather be cautious.
$Disney (DIS.US)$ Maybe it's about to rebound.
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本人散户，闲钱投资，名字为系统生成。这里记录投资感悟与趣事。所有言论都纯属娱乐，不是投资建议。此账号为本人唯一社媒平台。
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高贵的阿德莱德 OP : Quietly waiting for tomorrow's CPI, can't do it? It's going to exceed expectations
102446961 高贵的阿德莱德 OP : exceed being better or worse?
TridentRodent : May I ask if the thread starter has a blog or group to study
KoalaBB TridentRodent : I want it too
Ringo想买包 : The way to transfer the target was very simple. There was a shiver at the end of the coast, alas
高贵的阿德莱德 OP TridentRodent : No, I'm just a small retail investor, trading stocks and having fun. There's also some talk here. It's an entertainment program, just watch it and be happy
高贵的阿德莱德 OP 102446961 : The CPI is out, so there's no need to talk about it. However, I was originally worried that the CPI was too high, but the reason I didn't go short on qqq was to consider three aspects: 1. It takes time for energy prices to transfer to CPI, so it won't be that fast. But next month's CPI isn't easy to talk about. 2. CPI expectations have already been raised, and it's not that easy to exceed expectations after the increase (but if that happens, it's a big thunder). 3. China's weak economy has lowered global prices.
高贵的阿德莱德 OP Ringo想买包 : I think it's just that we think they're going to shiver. I think Governor Cai has always felt very good about himself. The Korean peninsula is even more dangerous if it doesn't do well. So if it weren't for TSMC and Samsung, Intel would wake up laughing...
王婧彤0722 : I'm very happy that shareholding collided with this wave of big declines~~
云边有个小卖部 TridentRodent : Do I have anything you want?
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