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Aren't you looking at the wrong chart?

Today, let's write about the essence that would be rough on X or YouTube.
The title is “Chart Explanation Full of Mistakes”!
It's coming down right now, but in general chart explanations and textbook-like stories, it's “when you get an autograph.” This is correct from a medium- to long-term perspective, but it doesn't work in the short or short term.
Each chart has a time axis they are good at, and the criteria for judgment also differ on each time axis.
And we have to change the way we capture the trade signs that come out of that chart depending on the time axis.

eg
・Golden cross (GC) /dead cross (DC) with moving average and MACD systems
・When the Overcast or Key Points sign lights up
・If you break a cash register or trend line or get pushed back
etc. will be explained as trade signs, right?
All of these are based on a “trend following” type of thinking that works in the medium term and above as a time axis.
Even in the medium term, the axis of trade and investment changes depending on the period.
Since I focus on options, the base is monthly. The medium term is 1 month, the short term is divided into around 1 week, the long term is 3 months to about 1 year, and the short term is 2-3 days...
So, please first determine what timeline each expert, analyst, and YouTuber is talking about the problem.
If you're a YouTuber who goes to guess the market price, you're probably mainly talking about “how are the stock prices tomorrow and the day after tomorrow” even on a daily basis.
If you watch with expectations of that, accuracy will not improve even if you talk with textbook-based trend-following signs like the one above. Or it will be an afterthought explanation. When thinking about positions by anticipating the market prices for tomorrow and the day after tomorrow, you must choose a [likely] chart that captures the “starting point of market change” and change the way you look at it.
Incidentally, I recommend “moving later,” where “the chart moves and then you move,” so I usually place emphasis on trend following signs. However, in general, there are many people who go to get information because “I want to know tomorrow's movements” or “that sender hits or doesn't hit,” so today I'm talking about how to look at the chart in order to “predict in advance.”
Let's take a look at the specifics.
Aren't you looking at the wrong chart?
This chart is a slightly improved version of stochastics. Since it's an oscillator, it captures the bottom of the sky quickly, but the downside is that it lumps too fast. So, the important one is 3/28, take a look at the bottom. At the blue arrow, it is the day the bar chart changed from light blue to blue, and this is the “starting point of the market price change.”
Also, the upper chart and the falling 5MA cross were achieved at the same time. A falling 5MA cross is a state where the 5MA is pointing downward and the candlestick is DC.
If it's a short-term match, they will sell on 3/28.
If you wait for 5MA and 25MA DC, it will be late, and the downward breaks of various trend lines will also be slow. Explanations on these signs and charts have already been sent out through membership, so I'm not picking them up because they went well. I'm relieved that I'm glad I worked this time too...
If you interpret a general chart according to a textbook, it won't work in today's fast-moving world. However, callers who do only general chart explanations without thinking about their own tactics will explain chart signs after many people have moved. That's because it's a textbook explanation.
Investing and trading are living things, not a school lesson. It is not a world where you can teach and be taught what has been considered correct until now, but it is a world where the side that “notices and teaches the essence that is correct now” and the side that “learns and puts it into practice” work hard with each other.
We, the teachers, must also train our eyes to select senders who speak the essence.
The starting point when the stock price moves up or down significantly next... will also be delayed if you do it with the above signs. This is because GC, DC, chart signs, etc. will light up after making a big move.
There is also a dedicated chart here. It's a breaking point.
Aren't you looking at the wrong chart?
If the yellow prices above and below are illuminated, there will be a big movement towards the one that left out. After falling below 39,790 yen, it plummeted.
Conversely, 2/8 surged after surpassing 36600.
This is also not in the chart textbook. I don't think there are many people who have captured this starting point by using “Elliott Wave,” the king of follow-up considerations.
Originally, the wave theory should be able to predict this kind of movement, but there are so many rules that I don't know which one is the correct answer. There are 7 or 8 time axes alone. There's no way you can hit that.
What I have been keenly aware of over the past few years is that even in fields such as technical analysis and chart analysis, past common sense and methods no longer apply. That's right, if you are caught up in past common sense or cases, such as gold rising even though interest rates rise... or if there is no recession in the US, the result will be that you miss your predictions.

If it's a past case study or data review, it would be strange if there wasn't a recession in 2023.
You can see that all the experts who shouted their skills at former financial institutions over the age of 60 have completely removed the 23-24 market price.
Technical analysts and investment advisors also have this trend, and people who are constantly studying regardless of age are changing what they send out. People who say the same thing forever don't follow me anymore.
That's why the story went off the rails,
・Technical analysis and chart analysis each have a time axis
・Let's look at it in a way that fits the time axis
・If you want to predict 2-3 days ahead in the short or short term, it is better to think about chart signs by being aware of capturing the “starting point where a sign comes out” from a fluctuating trend rather than “the sign has just come out.”
I'm speaking in a very bossy manner, but I haven't changed the way I look at the charts for 20 years, and I haven't been able to produce much results with discretionary investments.
It's been 3 years since I became the sender myself. I was finally keenly aware of this essence from around last year, and the number of YouTubers and experts I should watch was naturally narrowed down. Even professionals over the age of 60 who can keep up with this trend are playing an active role.
Okazaki Ryosuke, whom I love, is typical of that. After all, that one is amazing.
Well, if you're looking at chart explanations and want immediate contrarian information, search for callers who talk using charts or methods dedicated to contrarian devised by the caller himself. There is no need for chart commentators who explain according to general textbooks anymore.
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only. Read more
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  • HONDA N-ONE : Basic techniques are consequences theory, so predictions cannot be made

  • kenau HONDA N-ONE : That's because GCT's Double Top was also a trick. Institutions do everything in their power to bring in individual investors

  • トレーディングN : Okazaki-san is always a drunk person, isn't he? But I think what you're saying is accurate.

  • books hill : Watch the daily chart, 1 pair, 5 minute chart, and various technical indicators all the time, synchronize the market price, and read it so that the expected value of the forecast one step ahead rises.
    It's hard to put into words, but by continuing to watch them, I was finally able to raise my expectations, and my winning percentage went up.
    In short, I feel like I've finally come to understand recently that I have no choice but to build my own way to win.
    Since there are mountains of information on various people's methods and technical indicators, how to tune it for yourself so that you can use it as your own weapon is easy to say but difficult to do, and they often say they search for the Holy Grail, but I guess I have to search for my own Holy Grail, so now I have to work hard from this too...

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