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$AST SpaceMobile (ASTS.US)$ A measurable risk worth taking, ...

A measurable risk worth taking, go half-in, if earnings are not as estimated or Eps lower than -0.2 , can still average down, worst case wait for another quarter or a few, however based on recent instituition money flow and Rakuten’s write up, this shows significant level of confidence. If earnings beat estimation and a good guidance is given, beyond $40 is imminent. Risk-reward ratio appears favorable.
Comparing ASTS’s activities in Q2 and Q3 2024, it appears that Q3 might have had more substantial business developments based on the critical milestones achieved. Here’s a breakdown:

Q2 (April, May, June)

1. Strategic Partnerships:
Entered commercial agreements with AT&T and Verizon, enhancing connectivity solutions in the U.S. market.
Verizon committed $100 million to support AST SpaceMobile’s satellite technology integration.
2. Satellite Completion:
Completed the first five BlueBird commercial satellites and readied them for shipment, setting the stage for the upcoming launch.
3. Regulatory Approvals:
Secured FCC approval to launch the initial batch of satellites, clearing regulatory hurdles.

Q3 (July, August, September)

1. Satellite Launch:
Successfully launched the first five BlueBird satellites on September 12, a significant operational milestone as these satellites form the backbone of AST SpaceMobile’s space-based cellular network.
2. Satellite Array Deployment:
In September, AST SpaceMobile completed the unfolding of the communication arrays on these satellites, marking a step forward in functionality and deployment for broad cellular coverage.
3. New Contract:
Secured a position as a prime contractor with the U.S. Space Development Agency (SDA) for satellite development under the HALO program, opening new business and revenue opportunities in the military sector.
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