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The Bear Hunting Diary Tuesday Long-range shooting defense failed, got caught in the trap when going big and reducing

Bear Hunting Diary

**Tuesday Intraday**

Today's stock trading strategy is like trying to catch a bear by its tail, shifting the focus to core stocks, observing the changes in the short-term and quarterly trends. In order to avoid aimless wandering like a headless fly, I have decided to set an alarm at 72 using the RSI14 indicator, supplemented by the MACD monthly line to determine the trend. Hopefully, this time the performance in the stock market will be better than getting lost like last time.

- **Semiconductor Sector**: The foundation is Taiwan Semiconductor (**TSM**), with the superstructure being AI cloud computing (**NVDA**) and networking communication (**AVGO**). I feel like I'm building an investment castle in the air.

- **Bitcoin**: MSTR is currently deeply stuck in the mud, it's like searching for water in the desert, the monthly MACD shows a bearish crossover, and the green bars are exhausted. It is expected to decline in the next few days, like waiting for an impending sandstorm.

- **PLTR**: The market refuses to form a death cross, with RSI14 at only 58, calling for a bullish trend for the next two days. Hopefully, this time it will be successful like Joshua capturing the city of Jericho.

- **FNGu**: RSI at 67, expected to hold until Thursday. Just like David facing Goliath, it requires a precise strike.

- **NVDA**: The monthly green candle is coming to an end, while the quarterly RSI14 is too high. Similar to Moses leading the Israelites through the Red Sea, patience is needed to wait for the right opportunity.

- **TSM**: The night market's bottom fishing strategy needs adjustment, observation should be done in three stages. It feels like building an ark like Noah, requiring gradual accumulation.

Here comes the question: Is the four major large cap markets only for supplementary analysis? Such as SMH, XLK, etc.?

- **SOXX**: The monthly performance is poor, and only the yearly trend is meaningful. Just like Jonah understanding God's will after being swallowed by a fish.

- **IWM**: No reference value in fundamentals. It feels like drifting in the wilderness for forty years.

- **QQQ**: 40% annual growth, worth researching. Similar to King Solomon's wisdom, it's worth delving into.

- **VOO and its leverage**: Buffett's recommended stable choice, seems to be the safe of the investment world, can move forward steadily.

The rectification message warehouse is as follows:

- **SMH, XLK, MAGS, MGK, IGV, VUG** are considered as message warehouse. It feels like surrounding the city of Jericho for oneself, must patiently wait for opportunities.

The confusion about ASML needs to be resolved through studying Taiwan Semiconductor, just like unraveling the mystery of the Tower of Babel.

> "A good tree produces good fruit, but a bad tree produces bad fruit." - Maintaining a calm and composed attitude in investments is crucial, just like the wisdom sayings in the Bible remind me.

**Appendix**

Hyperlink title:

1. [Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM)](https://www.tsmc.com)
2. [AI cloud computing (NVDA)](https://www.nvidia.com)
3. [Network communication (AVGO)](https://www.broadcom.com)

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    猎熊日记|新手入门|作手素质:技术分析,仓位管理,心态平穩|BRK.B 健身安睡則長壽則複利|波段進退如習武禪修
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