Bear hunting story: Ammunition is limited, need to endure until it's safe to shoot ## Saturday market observation
The following is a beginner's stock trading diary that has been polished and expanded based on your request, retaining the core content of the original text and adding some details:
# Bear hunting story: Ammunition is limited, need to endure until it's safe to shoot
## Saturday market observation
Today, I carefully studied the insights of the Wolf King. His analysis of several popular technology stocks has greatly benefited me.
**NVIDIA(NVIDIA)**: The Wolf King believes that NVIDIA still has room for growth. It has completed a three-month W-bottom pattern, with the bottom support at $112 since September 11th, and $96 below that. It should have been holding more at $116 a few days ago. This has made me realize the importance of seizing market opportunities in a timely manner.
**Tesla**: Only grown by 2% in the past year, while the QQQ large-cap index has grown at least 20%. The Wolf King predicts that monthly and quarterly candlestick charts will continue to rise. This reminds me to pay attention to the relative performance of individual stocks against the large-cap index.
**Apple**: Has completed a W-bottom pattern and seems to show signs of rebound.
**Meta**: Called the strongest technology stock by the Wolf King, the W-bottom rebound is already evident, worth increasing holdings. I have decided to closely monitor Meta's performance.
**Amazon**: As long as it holds the $185 bottom, it is worth buying. This taught me the importance of setting stop-loss points.
**Microsoft**: Still rising safely and steadily, with good stability.
**Google**: Currently forming the next base, the Wolf King believes there is no need to worry. This reminds me that sometimes short-term market fluctuations do not necessarily represent long-term trends.
**AMD**: Very clear W-right formation, looks promising for an uptrend.
## Gaming Industry and Cloud Computing
I also followed Xiao Lin's analysis, where he discussed the development of the gaming industry and cloud computing. The cloud gaming market is expected to grow tenfold in five years, while cloud computing data center business may grow thirtyfold in five years. This made me realize the need to closely monitor basic stocks related to data center operations, as well as opportunities in clean energy and renewable energy sectors.
Power consumption of data center facilities has risen from 3% to 8% in the past three years, and traditional electricity is struggling to meet the demand. Nevada and Arizona even provide tax breaks and land support for solar power generation to promote data center development. This information has sparked new investment ideas in the energy industry for me.
## Individual Stock Analysis
**SMCI (Super Micro Computer)**: I have decided to research the relationship between SMCI and Nvidia. There is an analysis suggesting to reduce holdings by half, as future incremental growth may be limited. This reminds me to always pay attention to the risks of my positions.
**Nvidia**: I learned an interesting comparison - GPUs compared to CPUs, only require 4% of the cost and 1.2% of the power consumption. After Nvidia's acquisition of the Israeli company Mellanox, they are developing DPUs. This makes me think: who will benefit from this? I need to further research this field.
## Personal Trading Insights
Today, I achieved some success in the "Bear Hunting" operation of "Micron Storage." I earned 23% in the first wave, but I may have been a bit impatient and directly followed up with the second wave on the same day. Currently, the second wave is slightly losing, bringing the overall profit down to 14%. This experience taught me:
1. Selling 30% on the same day was the right decision, preparing for a possible short-term exit in the future.
2. Should not rush to enter again. In the future, when faced with a similar situation, I should wait until close to the market closing to make a decision, respecting day trading and short-term players with two-day swings.
3. If it continues to fall next Monday, I will consider withdrawing 15%-25% and then wait for a signal of rebound before coming back.
From the Taiwan stock program 'After Work Economics,' I learned that the hunting position should not exceed 10% of the total amount, allowing the opportunity to capture the chance of two or three 'bears'. This advice made me rethink the strategy of risk diversification.
## Technology and Market Outlook
nvidia, as the ASML support provider of Taiwan Semiconductor, offers cuLitho technology services, which is significant. I noticed that Synopsys' stock did not seem to rise accordingly, so I bought ten units, hoping to seize potential opportunities.
I am also studying the relationship between HBM technology and datacenters. HBM3 technology is closely related to nvidia's CUDA computing system, with an expected tenfold increase. In the US stock market, there is only one major player, Micron, while South Korea's Samsung Memory and SK Hynix are restricted from entering the US stock market due to geopolitical policies. Considering that nvidia and Micron may continue to cooperate, I expect the stocks of these two companies to rise.
It is worth noting that nvidia's datacenter business has become its core, accounting for 87% of total revenue. This reflects the company's strategic transformation towards artificial intelligence and accelerated computing solutions, implying future development directions.
Today's learning and trading have made me realize deeply that stock trading not only requires technical analysis but also pays attention to industry trends and company strategies. I will continue to learn and work hard to improve my investment skills.
Reference Source:
1. [Xiaolin discusses gaming topics (second half discusses nvidia)](https://youtu.be/8BbG1Jr94o8?si=IYveVQDetyor8Cku)
2. Research on the Relationship between SMCI and nvidia.https://youtu.be/9nvMTOI0x30)
3. News on Collaboration between nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor, and Synopsys.https://blogs.synopsys.com/from-silicon-to-software/2023/03/21/nvidia-computational-lithography/
Sources
# Bear hunting story: Ammunition is limited, need to endure until it's safe to shoot
## Saturday market observation
Today, I carefully studied the insights of the Wolf King. His analysis of several popular technology stocks has greatly benefited me.
**NVIDIA(NVIDIA)**: The Wolf King believes that NVIDIA still has room for growth. It has completed a three-month W-bottom pattern, with the bottom support at $112 since September 11th, and $96 below that. It should have been holding more at $116 a few days ago. This has made me realize the importance of seizing market opportunities in a timely manner.
**Tesla**: Only grown by 2% in the past year, while the QQQ large-cap index has grown at least 20%. The Wolf King predicts that monthly and quarterly candlestick charts will continue to rise. This reminds me to pay attention to the relative performance of individual stocks against the large-cap index.
**Apple**: Has completed a W-bottom pattern and seems to show signs of rebound.
**Meta**: Called the strongest technology stock by the Wolf King, the W-bottom rebound is already evident, worth increasing holdings. I have decided to closely monitor Meta's performance.
**Amazon**: As long as it holds the $185 bottom, it is worth buying. This taught me the importance of setting stop-loss points.
**Microsoft**: Still rising safely and steadily, with good stability.
**Google**: Currently forming the next base, the Wolf King believes there is no need to worry. This reminds me that sometimes short-term market fluctuations do not necessarily represent long-term trends.
**AMD**: Very clear W-right formation, looks promising for an uptrend.
## Gaming Industry and Cloud Computing
I also followed Xiao Lin's analysis, where he discussed the development of the gaming industry and cloud computing. The cloud gaming market is expected to grow tenfold in five years, while cloud computing data center business may grow thirtyfold in five years. This made me realize the need to closely monitor basic stocks related to data center operations, as well as opportunities in clean energy and renewable energy sectors.
Power consumption of data center facilities has risen from 3% to 8% in the past three years, and traditional electricity is struggling to meet the demand. Nevada and Arizona even provide tax breaks and land support for solar power generation to promote data center development. This information has sparked new investment ideas in the energy industry for me.
## Individual Stock Analysis
**SMCI (Super Micro Computer)**: I have decided to research the relationship between SMCI and Nvidia. There is an analysis suggesting to reduce holdings by half, as future incremental growth may be limited. This reminds me to always pay attention to the risks of my positions.
**Nvidia**: I learned an interesting comparison - GPUs compared to CPUs, only require 4% of the cost and 1.2% of the power consumption. After Nvidia's acquisition of the Israeli company Mellanox, they are developing DPUs. This makes me think: who will benefit from this? I need to further research this field.
## Personal Trading Insights
Today, I achieved some success in the "Bear Hunting" operation of "Micron Storage." I earned 23% in the first wave, but I may have been a bit impatient and directly followed up with the second wave on the same day. Currently, the second wave is slightly losing, bringing the overall profit down to 14%. This experience taught me:
1. Selling 30% on the same day was the right decision, preparing for a possible short-term exit in the future.
2. Should not rush to enter again. In the future, when faced with a similar situation, I should wait until close to the market closing to make a decision, respecting day trading and short-term players with two-day swings.
3. If it continues to fall next Monday, I will consider withdrawing 15%-25% and then wait for a signal of rebound before coming back.
From the Taiwan stock program 'After Work Economics,' I learned that the hunting position should not exceed 10% of the total amount, allowing the opportunity to capture the chance of two or three 'bears'. This advice made me rethink the strategy of risk diversification.
## Technology and Market Outlook
nvidia, as the ASML support provider of Taiwan Semiconductor, offers cuLitho technology services, which is significant. I noticed that Synopsys' stock did not seem to rise accordingly, so I bought ten units, hoping to seize potential opportunities.
I am also studying the relationship between HBM technology and datacenters. HBM3 technology is closely related to nvidia's CUDA computing system, with an expected tenfold increase. In the US stock market, there is only one major player, Micron, while South Korea's Samsung Memory and SK Hynix are restricted from entering the US stock market due to geopolitical policies. Considering that nvidia and Micron may continue to cooperate, I expect the stocks of these two companies to rise.
It is worth noting that nvidia's datacenter business has become its core, accounting for 87% of total revenue. This reflects the company's strategic transformation towards artificial intelligence and accelerated computing solutions, implying future development directions.
Today's learning and trading have made me realize deeply that stock trading not only requires technical analysis but also pays attention to industry trends and company strategies. I will continue to learn and work hard to improve my investment skills.
Reference Source:
1. [Xiaolin discusses gaming topics (second half discusses nvidia)](https://youtu.be/8BbG1Jr94o8?si=IYveVQDetyor8Cku)
2. Research on the Relationship between SMCI and nvidia.https://youtu.be/9nvMTOI0x30)
3. News on Collaboration between nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor, and Synopsys.https://blogs.synopsys.com/from-silicon-to-software/2023/03/21/nvidia-computational-lithography/
Sources
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猎熊日记｜新手入门｜作手素质：技术分析，仓位管理，心态定位.｜坚持炒股須健好睡好｜BRK.B 長壽则長持｜波段操练如習武禪修
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