Bitcoin open interest tops chart after hitting $75K ‘sweet spot’

Bitcoin OI — a metric tracking the total number of unsettled Bitcoin derivative contracts such as options and futures — reached $45.4 billion, representing a 13.3% increase since Nov. 5, when Bitcoin’s price broke through its $73,800 all-time high set in March, according to CoinGlass data.

OI increases when the number of new long positions opened by buyers or new short positions by sellers is more significant than the number of contracts closed on that day.

Traders don’t appear to expect Bitcoin’s price to retrace to the previous high of $73,679 anytime soon, with $1.26 billion in short positions at risk of liquidation if it does.

At the time of publication, Bitcoin was trading at $75,792, according to TradingView data, and analysts were speculating that the price is in an ideal range.

“Bitcoin is now in the sweet spot of the bull market halving cycle that should top in the $130k to $150K range next Aug/Sep. I measure cycles differently than most,” veteran trader Peter Brandt wrote in a Nov. 6 X post.

While Bitcoin reaching all-time highs often raises concerns among newer crypto investors about the asset being overvalued, not all analysts agree.

Crypto analyst Rajat Soni, for one, said it’s still early:

“We are so early in Bitcoin’s adoption that you can still exchange pieces of paper ($, €, £, etc.) for BTC because most of the world thinks fiat currencies are backed by something tangible.”

Echoing a similar sentiment, crypto analysis firm CryptoQuant said that Bitcoin is “not overheated” yet.

“Bitcoin’s new all-time high doesn’t mean it’s overvalued relative to its cost basis,” the firm said in a Nov. 6 X post.

The analysis firm added that Bitcoin’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio “is still far from peak levels.”

The higher the MVRV, the more it signals to traders that Bitcoin may be overbought. When Bitcoin reached its all-time high of $73,679 in March, the MVRV was around 2.87, according to Bitbo data.

At the time of publication, Bitcoin’s MVRV score was 2.19.