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Broadcom CEO: "Strong demand for AI semiconductors! Non-AI business below expectations, recovery expected in the future [earnings summary]"

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ビットバレー投資家 wrote a column · Sep 6, 2024 16:38
Leading semiconductor company $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ announced its earnings after the close on September 5th. The stock price dropped 6.7% in after-hours trading 4Q revenue guidance slightly below market estimates, acting as a selling point. AI semiconductors are performing well, but the growth of non-AI businesses is expected to be below market estimates. Done.
The company has once again revised its full-year AI-related revenue outlook upwards. The increase exceeded market expectations, but did not push up the stock price. It is also believed that investors are becoming more cautious ahead of the employment statistics on the following day, influencing the situation.
The company once again revised upwards its full-year AI-related revenue forecast. The increase exceeded market expectations but did not push up the stock price. It is believed that the cautious stance of investors ahead of the employment statistics on the following 6th also had an impact.
Earnings Highlights
◇Financial results for the 24.10 period 3Q (May-July period): Mixed performance
◇Revenue guidance for 4Q (August-October period): Slightly below market expectations
Broadcom CEO: "Strong demand for AI semiconductors! Non-AI business below expectations, recovery expected in the future [earnings summary]"
◇The AI business is doing well, and the non-AI business is expected to bottom out and recover in 4Q.
At the earnings call, the management commented that the demand for AI is still strong. Reflecting the strong demand for AI semiconductors, the full-year AI-related revenue forecast has been revised upwards from $11 billion to $12 billion, exceeding market expectations.
Considering the positive outlook for AI semiconductors and the lower-than-expected 4Q total revenue guidance, the growth of the non-AI business is expected to be below market expectations.
The management explained that the majority of the non-AI semiconductor business is either in a worst-case scenario or has emerged from the worst-case scenario. In some of these markets, although revenue is significantly below the same period last year, it is starting to grow again compared to the previous quarter. The non-AI-related business has hit bottom and is expected to recover in 4Q.
"The growth rate of the AI-related business exceeds that of other businesses. This is due to strong demand from hyper-scale customers for both AI networking and custom AI accelerators. We are confident that AI will continue to maintain strong performance next year," said the management.
What are the benefits of the launch of the new iPhone?
Broadcom is a supplier of $Apple (AAPL.US)$ major components for the iPhone. At the earnings call, Broadcom's management indicated that they expect the next-generation devices to boost their 4Q wireless revenue by 20% compared to the previous quarter, but it is still expected to remain flat compared to the same period last year without direct mention of Apple or the iPhone.
Broadcom CEO: "Strong demand for AI semiconductors! Non-AI business below expectations, recovery expected in the future [earnings summary]"
Wall Street's evaluations vary, but positive evaluations are prominent.
After the earnings reports, Fubon Securities lowered its target stock price, while Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JP Morgan raised their target stock prices.
Broadcom CEO: "Strong demand for AI semiconductors! Non-AI business below expectations, recovery expected in the future [earnings summary]"
Rather than directly confronting nvidia, the benefits of expanding investment by hyperscalers can be expected.
Broadcom's major customers for AI-related products are hyperscalers such as $Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$ $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ . In addition to creating custom AI semiconductors for hyperscalers, they also provide AI network products. $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ like $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ . Instead of directly confronting nvidia, they can benefit from the expansion of AI investments by hyperscalers.
Demand for custom AI semiconductors and AI network products remains strong, with AI-related revenue steadily expanding in the past two quarters. The positive trend is expected to continue next year, making Broadcom a true AI semiconductor stock.
The recent earnings report revealed a scenario where non-AI businesses are dragging down performance. The disappointment with the underperformance of non-AI businesses is believed to be influenced by the current concerns over the slowdown in the U.S. economy. Although the company's non-AI businesses show some irregularities, overall they seem to have reached a bottom and indications point towards a recovery in the fourth quarter. If this becomes even clearer in the fourth quarter earnings report, it is expected to help alleviate investors' concerns.
Considering the company's unique position in the AI semiconductor market, it can be said that it is worth paying attention to as the next AI semiconductor stock after NVIDIA. While it is necessary to pay attention to the investment environment for semiconductor stocks and the direction of the US economy, it is considered to have investment potential in the medium to long term.
Broadcom CEO: "Strong demand for AI semiconductors! Non-AI business below expectations, recovery expected in the future [earnings summary]"
September 6, 2024, Market Analyst Julie
Source: Company documents and Bloomberg, compiled by moomoo Securities
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only. Read more
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  • 182483439 : If you wait, the weather will be favorable for the sea. If you wait, the weather will be favorable for the sea. If you wait, the weather will bring sweet dew. If you wait, the weather will bring sweet dew. Wait until 💲210.

  • Mr スコップ : Broadcom always has the last closing date.
    If we do it at the same time as M7, we might be able to handle it more skillfully.

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