$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US...
I am a beginner in investing. After studying a little on my own, I recently bought about 150 shares for now.
Since I bought it around $4.50, I think it might go down and hit around $4. Consensus says that interest rates won't go up much, so I think it will take time to go down. But is it bad to hold TMF for a long time? Is short-term speculation the golden rule?
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くじらくじら : I wonder if it's still too early to say
There are brands that can be held for a long time, but people have various ideas
投資家 t9m : I envy $4! I'm aiming for $14, and if things go well, $18
According to the time line, I think it's until around December next year!
This is just my opinion.
保則 OP : Thank you for your comments. This is my first time with a leveraged ETF and I don't know at all how fast the price will move, and depending on the person, there are people who say it's useless to hold it for 1 week or more even if it's as long as 1 day. If interest rates drop, bonds will go up, so if you have them, I think it's okay to hold them for 2 to 3 years! Am I making a big mistake in my way of thinking?
KH23 : It is dangerous to hold leveraged products for a long time.
Let's make up our own decisions!
保則 OP : Thank you for your comments. Understood, that's what it says! It's a learning experience.
投資家 t9m : Since leverage is applied, if it falls or the market price is in the range, the cost will be incurred. If it's a bull, it makes sense if it goes up, but if it falls, it becomes difficult in the range market. If you understand the risk of leva, I don't think there is a problem. However, if it's around $4, I can expect a delicious market price in the future The judgment is personal!? I think TWF starts here
It's subjective, but I'm afraid of other American stocks that have leverage
投資家 t9m 投資家 t9m : The cost ✕ depreciation is zero, isn't it
保則 OP : Thank you for your comments. I'm sorry, please let me know. If it's a range market, I don't understand the meaning of the part where costs are incurred.
ぶんすけ : If Mr. Trump is reappointed, they will say interest rates are high or the dollar is high, so if they can persevere for another year, they should see the light of day
I started bothering myself with the $4 split here, so I tried it out for a long time
It's separate from SOXL, TQQQ, and 1003 times, and it's unbelievable
投資家 t9m 保則 OP : In TMF, it moves with 3 times leverage based on TLT, but if the decline and range are repeated, there will be a slight gap with TLT even at the same value. That becomes depreciation. It's a bit difficult to explain, so I think there are explanations that are easy to understand if you watch YouTube etc.
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