$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US...
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ Why this movement in the direction of inflation control?
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投資歴20年でやっと株のことが少しだけわかりだした氷河期世代です
基本ファンダテクニカルどちらも重視の長期で遊びにド短期で
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こんな時代にキャデ : Government bonds are already priced at a price that incorporates the March interest rate cut to some extent, so I don't think TMF will rise unless there is an impactful decline that brings the Fed close to that. If there doesn't seem to be a March interest rate cut even if inflation falls, I think TMF will stay flat, or even be lowered once.
ぶんすけ : Because everyone is busy getting ready for Christmas
新div : The amount of Federal Reserve loans made by the Federal Reserve each week to banks and regional banks that have insufficient funds in the US and have losses due to US bonds has reached a record high in one week this week.
Banks raise federal reserve loan funds using US bonds as collateral, and interest payments will occur, but although you can borrow at 4.88% from the current interest rate of 5.5%, interest repayment obligations will occur, so it's not difficult.
There is a risk that the Fed will maintain the current high interest rates. Bad debts due to bank failures, corporate bankruptcies due to corporate bankruptcy due to unwillingness to lend