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$Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares ETF (DPST.US)$...

$Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares ETF(DPST.US)$ so let's do an update on this little landmine. week and a half ago I had a nice trade and then I bought some more when we had an inner day reversal and it's been nothing but downhill since. I did sell a call collected a premium last week that I disclosed.  the banks all have come under pressure as a group all of the major Banks Goldman Morgan Chase they all have been hammered in the past 3 weeks and the regionals also have come down quite significantly. this is directly correlated to interest rates and when will there be a cut which is ironic because there's two sides to Banks when interest rates are high they make money because many depositors stay in checking accounts with no interest so the banks capture that spread the downside when interest rates are high is you have a lower origination on mortgages so refinancing virtually is eliminated when you have high rates right now and home sales are still strong but on the margin they have declined because rates are higher the cost to borrow is more people afford less. so these stocks all have come down and relative to 3-year window on a valuation basis looking at a basket  covid mkt crash when the market tanked hard. banks as a group about 70 cents on the dollar to book value. roll the clock forward. silicon valley Bank crash period of time and valuations were 80 cents on the dollar. we got up to about 1.2 book it was as a basket so slight premium to book and now we're back down to 90 cents on the dollar.. what this means is and I'll use an analogy I remember one of the guys I worked with is a stockbroker in the late 80s.. he would tell clients this thing's like a coiled spring it's under so much pressure that any good news and you know what happens to a coiled spring don't you?  so yeah my friend Sean who used that in his presentations when he's pitching client stocks they're ready to make a massive surge higher on any favorable news about inflation slowing about unemployment continuously going up something to indicates a Fed rate cut.
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  • 10baggerbamm OP : so you have the bnku  which is the 3x leverage large bank which are your Goldman's your mortgage your Chase your city your Bank of America and they have come down as a basket they're on a support line I posted yesterday that they should be bought and to buy half a position here that was yesterday because who the hell knows what Powell's going to do or say and I don't like banking on one person betting I should say on one person to determine the fate of an investment. when we get any type of upward movement the regionals will move at 2 to 1: compared to the large Banks. it was just a few weeks ago these bobbleheads were on TV saying the market's broadening out and buy the Russell and I posted comments when these boneheads are on TV saying the market's broadening out that it's already moved it's peaked and it's selling off and you can see TNA how much it has dropped since I posted my comments it's gone from 41 down to 35 and change where it is right now. and similar bobbleheads were on TV pounding the table on the banks and they have all been butchered and they were pounding the table on utilities and they all so have been butchered. now no one is talking about them because they look like assholes and now they're getting to a point where they should be bought. so the regionals I'm going to be buying a little more today as soon as I finish up here I will be averaging my cost basis down because I made a mistake last week and going back in and I should not have but that's part of investing is making mistakes and recognizing them. I believe that at this price point 5859 wherever it's going to be trading we have 8:30 indicator and then we've got the FED comments and the q&A even if it were to be 6061 by the end of the day if there's any sign of dovishness and that's what you want to listen to these baskets will trade dramatically higher in the coming week and a half to two weeks

35+ yrs in the trenches, raised tens of millions for start ups, syndicate ipo's, yrs on trading desk mkt maker.
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