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I will post about geopolitical risks regarding yesterday's stock price drop.
In response to the attack on the area around the Iranian embassy in Syria, Iran's supreme leader Khamenei declared retaliation against Israel, and I wonder if it will develop into a direct war between Iran and Israel![]()
Seen from America's point of view, the American side is issuing a warning to Iran while closely monitoring whether armed groups receiving support from Iran will attack the US military stationed in the Middle East.
Information has been conveyed to American government officials that Iran also does not want an all-out war. History also shows that Iran itself does not want a direct clash.
Currently, I think what is most likely is that there is a possibility that one-off retaliation will be launched against regions and facilities that are likely to damage Israel's national interests.
The possibility of proxy retaliation by armed groups supported by Iran is considered the highest.
I think Iran itself knows very well that if Iran takes direct action, it will lead to a big risk for its own country.
The geopolitical risk is high, but I think it will be limited.
Iran is patient and will now focus on strengthening the direction of accelerating nuclear development rather than acting.
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ピンハネ OP : If Mr. Trump becomes president, the relationship between Israel and America will change, and the possibility that Middle Eastern countries, starting with Iran, will more easily participate in the war between Israel and Hamas (or Palestine) will increase. Naturally, if that were to happen, a new war in the Middle East would break out, and the risk that a new oil shock would occur would increase![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
蜜蜂株 : Dangerous
After all, there was a war between Iran and Iran...