Amateur's observation.

Riresa : It must be tough competing with South Korean manufacturers. The rating has been downgraded. I bought in at 115 and regret it now.

じきる : I bought at 137 before the settlement, and it plummeted after the settlement! Now it's definitely pickled for a while with a double punch of exchange gain. I don't feel like buying the dips either.

Riresa じきる : Around 130, many people bought it.
At that time, it suddenly dropped from 150 to 130.
It was a decline in Attack on Titan. It went below 80 at its lowest. What did everyone do at that time?

じきる Riresa : Honestly, it's a worrisome situation. In my case, since the proportion of my portfolio is small, I think I might be able to recover if I average down. But since the market conditions don't look good now, I'll keep an eye on it for a while and maybe make a move at some point! For now, I'm fully focused on N-san.It looks like it will be a long-term commitment.

黒い彗星 OP Riresa : Because the expectations for Nvidia are too high, I feel that even if their financial results are good, it may not be satisfying and it will be difficult to expect explosive profits in the future. On the other hand, Micro seems to have low expectations, so if they release good financial results, it may be possible to aim for explosive profits.

kohiro201 : I started investing in April this year and it was temporarily up by about 1 million, but now it's about the same amount of loss. As long as the quarterly earnings don't fall below consensus, I plan to continue buying while holding until next year's final settlement. The EPS for next year is currently expected to be around 7.5, so the stock price is $150 at a PER of 20 times. If there is a revision in the price of DRAM or an increase in production of HBM for fiscal year 2025, which is already sold out, then a stock price of $200 with an EPS of over 10 is not an unrealistic number. Ideally, we would like to see monetization of not only M7, but also other AI semiconductor adoption in the first half of next year, which would lead to the long-term extension of the semiconductor cycle. Additionally, the high price of NVIDIA GPUs is due to the 75% profit margin. In the future, in order to sell the company's products in places other than the USA and M7, the profit margin will decrease due to a price revision. However, that is only a decrease in NVIDIA's profit margin, and for companies like Micron and SK, the impact (price reduction demand from NVIDIA) is considered to be minor, and expanding the end users is desirable.

Riresa 黒い彗星 OP : It's a surprising and fresh idea. Thank you. I will definitely keep it.

黒い彗星 OP Riresa : Congratulations. Stocks that have dropped in value are likely to rise when their earnings are good. This is called a gap up (lie).