End of a turbulent week... how far will it drop?
Technical analysis (rating: 1.81/5)
・If you look at the formation status of “Head and Shoulders,” isn't it going to stop at around 49,000 at most? There is plenty of room for buying points around there. Also, since the area around 57000, which is a strong support line that was regarded as important until now, has now become a resistance line, it seems that the upper price will become heavy.
・The downtrend seems to be continuing, but it seems that they are about to pause for a while and move towards the second half======================================================
Option status
・Major Calls: 50000,60000
・Main puts: 45000 to 64000
→ There is room for sales pressure to increase in the future
======================================================
☆ Candlestick (Rating: 1/5)
・Daiein Line (9/5,6) from Shimohigeyo Line (9/4)
→A trend change was suggested, but eventually it went into a downward phase. There may also be a temporary reversal, but it would be better to think about the current situation in a downward direction.
☆ Chart Patterns (Rating: 1/5)
・Break out around 57000, which is a strong support line. Since it also exceeds the neckline, “head and shoulders” have already been formed.
→There is room for the decline to expand in the future. However,If you look at the formation status of Head & Shoulders, isn't it going to stop at around 49,000 at most?There is plenty of room for buying points around there. Also, about the area around 57000, which is a strong support line that was regarded as important until now,Since it has now become a resistance line, it seems that the upper price will become heavy.
☆ Moving Average x Volume Moving Average (Rating: 1.5/5)
・Moving Average: 50/75 day moving average just before the dead cross.(1/5)
・The short and medium term moving average line width (due to increased sales volume) increased, just before a dead cross.(2/5)
→There is room for further decline after the 50/75 day moving average dead cross,There are doubts about whether volume (sales) will increase in the future。
☆ Ichimoku Equilibrium Chart x DMI (Rating: 2.75/5)
・Ichimoku Equilibrium Chart: The three roles are being reversed. There is no room for improvement in the current situation. However, the twisting of the Sun Cloud occurred a little earlier (probably around the second half of October).(1.5/5)
・DMI: Recently an MDI/ADX dead cross occurred. A rapid downward trend occurred, but did it hit a ceiling?(4/5)
→ As for now, it is certain that it is trending downwards. However,It also seems that the downtrend has come to a standstill。
☆ BOLL × RSI × MACD (Rating: 2.8/5)
・BOLL: Touch +1σ to +2σ Has the decline begun to expand?(1.5/5)
・RSI: A downward trend from 43 (9/1) to 34 (9/6).(4/5)
・MACD: downward trend. Is the Golden Cross just around the corner?(3/5)
→ The decline also seems to have reached the second half.It seems like the time to buy is getting closer.
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ゆうた1231 : I wonder if it will drop that much?
ぴるさん OP ゆうた1231 : The maximum width of the candlestick pattern seems to be heading down towards around 49,000. However, it is important to note that this is just the "maximum width". Based on trends in DMI, RSI, and volume, unless there is a significant impact, I believe September will end moving within the downward trend since March around 52,000.
ぴるさん OP : On the other hand, the argument that things will deteriorate rapidly at around 40,000 yen seems absurd and groundless in the current situation.![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
ゆうた1231 : I hope this area is the bottom price!
ゆうた1231 : I have a feeling that it might go down to the recent low, but it's hard to short
ぴるさん OP : Is it safe to wait and see in September?