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Biden drops out of presidential race: How will markets react?
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【Eng】2024/7/22 - CSOP Regional Market Morning Report

Market News
【United States】
US stocks ended higher as investors firm bets on Trump win, rate cuts
- US major stock indices closed higher on Monday, building on Friday's rally as increasing expectations of a second Donald Trump presidency in the wake of a failed assassination attempt raised hopes of a looser regulatory environment.
- The growing probability that the U.S. Federal Reserve will begin cutting its key interest rate as soon as September also helped feed risk appetite.
Nasdaq has worst day since 2022 as tech stocks get slammed -2024/7/18
- Tech shares slumped Wednesday as investors shed the behemoths that fueled Wall Street’s monster stock rally this year. The Nasdaq Composite index tumbled 2.8%, logging its worst day since December 2022. The S&P 500 lost 1.4%.
- Shares of tech heavyweight Nvidia (NVDA) slumped 6.6% and rival chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) shares dropped by 10.2%.
- The selloff comes after a Tuesday report from Bloomberg that the Biden administration is mulling plans to impose more sanctions on Chinese tech firms and to heighten semiconductor trade restrictions between the US and China.
Foreign holdings of US Treasuries rise to a record in May
- Foreign holdings of U.S. Treasuries rose to a record high in May, exceeding the previous record in March, data from the Treasury Department showed on Thursday.
- Holdings of U.S. Treasuries rose to $8.129 trillion in May from a revised $8.04 trillion in April. Japan's stash of Treasuries shrank to $1.128 trillion from $1.15 trillion in April. Japan remains the largest foreign holder of U.S. Treasury securities. China, which is No. 2, saw its holdings fall to $768 billion from $771 billion in April.
U.S. President Joe Biden has announced his withdrawal from the 2024 presidential race and expressed his support for Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic presidential candidate. In a statement on social media, Biden said that he initially intended to seek re-election, but for the best interests of the Democratic Party and the country, he decided to withdraw from the race and focus on fulfilling his duties for the remainder of his term.
【China】
PBOC Lowers Seven-Day Reverse Repo Rate , Announces Shift to Quantity Bidding Starting Today. The seven-day reverse repo rate is lowered by 10 basis points to 1.7%, the PBOC said in a statement Monday. The move aims to optimize the open market operation mechanism and increase financial support for the economy, it said.
Details of China's Third Plenary Session Reforms Released: Involving Consumption Tax, Commercial Housing Pre-sale System, and Local Financing Platform Transformation
- On Sunday, China released the full text of the decision on deepening reforms passed by the 20th Third Plenary Session, clearly outlining measures for economic system reforms and high-quality development.
- The decision proposes to formulate a law to promote the private economy, move the collection of consumption tax to a later stage and steadily delegate it to local governments, reform the financing methods of real estate development and the pre-sale system of commercial housing, improve the real estate tax system, and accelerate the reform and transformation of local financing platforms.
【日本】
Japan’s Exports Increase in Support for Second Quarter Growth
- Japan’s exports grew for a seventh consecutive month in June, supporting the view that in the second quarter the economy will recover from its contraction at the start of the year. Exports gained 5.4% from a year ago, led by chip-making gear and non-ferrous metals, the Finance Ministry reported Thursday.
The Japanese government has revised its economic growth forecast for the fiscal year 2024 from 1.3% down to 0.9%, and it anticipates that the economy will expand by 1.2% in the fiscal year 2025. Japanese government officials stated that both the government and the Bank of Japan must focus on the recent depreciation of the yen and guide economic policies accordingly.
Corporate News
【United States】
$Apple (AAPL.US)$ shares rose 2.5% to a record high on Monday after Morgan Stanley raised its price target on the iPhone maker's shares and designated the stock as a "top pick," citing the company's AI efforts as a boost to device sales. -2024/7/16
Robotaxi will push $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ stock price to tenfold
- Cathie Wood said that Tesla entry into the more profitable Robotaxi autonomous taxi platform will be the catalyst for a 10x increase in the stock price.
- She believes that the global autonomous taxi ecosystem will be an $8 trillion to $10 trillion revenue opportunity, with platform providers such as Tesla accounting for half of the total.
$ASML Holding (ASML.US)$ order book expected to benefit from AI chip boom
- ASML's second-quarter orders are expected to reach close to US$5.4 billion, higher than consensus estimates, Mihuzo analyst Kevin Wang said.
- Analysts said ASML may upgrade guidance, as major contract suppliers of cutting-edge chips including Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC), which makes chips for Nvidia and Apple - report earnings on Thursday and might forecast an increase in equipment purchases.
【China】
$XIAOMI-W (01810.HK)$ has announced two foldable screen smartphones: the MIX Flip and the MIX Fold 4. The larger foldable, Xiaomi MIX Fold 4, is priced starting at 8,999 yuan, while the smaller foldable, Xiaomi MIX Flip, is priced starting at 5,999 yuan.
$XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ announced that it has signed a joint development agreement with Volkswagen for strategic cooperation on electronic and electrical architecture technology. XPeng stated that both parties will be fully committed to developing industry-leading electronic and electrical architectures for Volkswagen's CMP and MEB platforms produced in China. The signing of the agreement not only signifies that both parties will accelerate the development of electronic and electrical architectures in China but also lays the foundation for expanding their strategic cooperation in this technology area.
【APAC】
$Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$ Q2 results exceed expectations again, 2024 capital expenditure guidance raised
- Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. achieved significant growth again in the second quarter of 2024. TSMC’s financial report released on July 18 showed that Q2 revenue was NT$673.51 billion (approximately US$20.82 billion), a year-on-year increase of 40.1% and a month-on-month increase of 13.6%. The year-on-year growth rate was higher than the average analyst’s expectation of 35.5%.
- Net profit was NT$247.845 billion, a year-on-year increase of 36.3% and a month-on-month increase of 9.9%, higher than the average analyst estimate of NT$235 billion.
$Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$ has sent staff to check Innolux’s plant in Tainan, hoping to work with Innolux to expand its advanced packaging business, Taipei-based Economic Daily News reports, citing unidentified people familiar with the matter. Innolux is expected to make a decision on its bidder as early as this week, the report said.
Despite ongoing negotiations, the largest union of Samsung Electronics Co. (005930.KP) still plans to hold a protest march at the Giheung campus on July 22, with an estimated participation of over 1,500 people.
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  • SoundOfMusic : Xpeng, write down this note from Cathy.
    "Cathie Wood said that Tesla entry into the more profitable Robotaxi autonomous taxi platform will be the catalyst for a 10x increase in the stock price.".
    Xpeng, do you know what to do with VW for your next project? hint: 10x.