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Expect headwinds from tech earnings and US Fed interest rate decision

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Trader’s Edge wrote a column · Jul 30 23:37
Expect headwinds from tech earnings and US Fed interest rate decision
US Market Key Charts (S&P, US Dollar, Gold)
$E-mini S&P 500 Futures(DEC4) (ESmain.US)$ (4 Hour Chart) - [NEUTRAL] S&P currently basing and holding above 5422 support, yet capped below 5433 resistance. We prefer to stay neutral for now with a slight bearish bias. A 4 hour candlestick close below 5422 support will open a drop towards next support at 5366. Technical indicators are mixed for now.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick closing above 5433 resistance will open a short term rise towards 5630.75 resistance next.

$USD (USDindex.FX)$ (4 Hour Chart) - [BEARISH ↘ *] DXY is testing and holding below 104.685 resistance. We stay bearish with low conviction ahead of the US FOMC interest rate decision. A short term intraday drop towards 103.740 support is expected. Technical indicators are mixed for now with price holding below 21 period EMA.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick close above 104.685 resistance will see a short term rise towards next resistance at 105.080.
$Gold Futures(DEC4) (GCmain.US)$ (4 Hour Chart) - [BEARISH ↘ *] Price is topping below resistance at 2378.50. We stay low conviction bearish below this level, expecting an intraday drop towards 2415.70 support. Technical indicators have yet to confirm the bearish view.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick closing above 2478.50 resistance will open further rise towards next resistance at 2533.
NIKKEI 225 / TOPIX IndexFutures
$Nikkei 225 (.N225.JP)$ (4 Hour Chart) - [BEARISH ↘ *] We maintain a bearish directional bias on Nikkei225 as long as price holds below 38700 resistance level. We expect price to push towards 37100 support level. Technical indicators advocate for a bearish scenario as well.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick closing above 38700 resistance level could open a push towards 39100 resistance level.
HSI IndexFutures
$HSI Futures(NOV4) (HSImain.HK)$ (4 Hour Chart) - [BEARISH ↘ *] HSI is in a downtrend and we maintain a bearish directional bias as long as price holds below 17400 resistance level. We expect price to move towards 16400 support level. Technical indicators advocate for a bearish scenario as well.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick closing above 17400 resistance level could open a push towards 18000 resistance level.
SG Market - STI
$FTSE Singapore Straits Time Index (.STI.SG)$ (4 Hour Chart) - [BULLISH↗ *] We are bullish on STI and expect prices to hold above 3400 support levels. We expect price to push towards 3500 resistance level. Technical indicators advocate for a bullish directional bias as well.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick closing below 3400 support level could open a drop towards 3350 support level.
Summary - What Is Happening In The Markets
US equity futures slipped lower after a brief pause on Tuesday. $E-mini S&P 500 Futures(DEC4) (ESmain.US)$ and $E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(DEC4) (NQmain.US)$ both closed -0.55% and -1.42% lower respectively. Despite mega-cap tech earnings beating expectations, markets and shares both sold off late towards the end of yesterday's trading session and after market hours. Both $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ and $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ had marginally better earnings, yet prices still dropped by -2.75% and -0.94% respectively. Traders continue to turn their attention to FOMC's interest rate decision later this week.
Asian markets all rallied this morning with the exception of the Japanese index. $Nikkei 225 (.N225.JP)$ traded cautiously this morning opening slightly lower by -0.31% in anticipation of the much watched BoJ rate hike. Consumption has been slowing along with mixed inflationary growth. However, with the recent strengthening of the JPY it gives the BoJ the confidence needed to hike rates by 15 basis point to 0.25%. $HSI Futures(NOV4) (HSImain.HK)$ pushed higher by +1.51% this morning holding nicely above the 16700/17000 technical support level. The finance and tech sector both rose strongly this morning ahead of the US Fed meeting. Singapore's $FTSE Singapore Straits Time Index (.STI.SG)$ edged higher by +0.14% this morning as well as the latest unemployment data shows a marginal drop pointing to the robustness of the city-state's labour market.
Prepared by:
Moomoo Singapore
Isaac Lim CMT, CFTe
Chief Market Strategist
This report is provided for informational and general circulation purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation for the purchase or sale of securities, futures, or other investment products. It does not take into consideration any particular needs of any person. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
For full disclaimers, please visit https://www.moomoo.com/sg/support/topic5_935.
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only. Read more
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