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FBM KLCI Expected to Maintain Uptrend with Key Economic Data in Focus

FBM KLCI Expected to Maintain Uptrend with Key Economic Data in Focus
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The FBM KLCI is set to extend its gains, supported by favorable global and domestic factors
The FBM KLCI is set to extend its gains, supported by favorable global and domestic factors
$FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index (.KLSE.MY)$ on Bursa Malaysia are anticipated to continue their upward trend next week, supported by positive external developments and local economic indicators. The index showed resilience in the past week, boosted by encouraging global economic policies and investor sentiment. Major influences include recent political shifts in the United States, expected rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, and supportive monetary policies in China aimed at stimulating economic recovery. Market participants are also keeping an eye on Malaysia’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for the third quarter, set to be released by the Department of Statistics Malaysia (DOSM), which is projected to align closely with an estimated 5.3% growth rate.

Weekly Performance of Key Indices on Bursa Malaysia

For the week, $FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index (.KLSE.MY)$ posted a robust performance, increasing by 17.26 points to close at 1,621.24, up from 1,603.98 in the previous week. $FTSE Bursa Malaysia EMAS Index (.FBMEMAS.MY)$ saw a significant gain of 137.52 points, closing at 12,265.86, while $FTSE Bursa Malaysia Mid 70 Index (.FBM70.MY)$ advanced by 186.46 points, reaching 17,865.39. $FTSE Bursa Malaysia Top 100 Index (.FBM100.MY)$ also increased by 126.67 points to close at 11,966.46. Similarly, $FTSE Bursa Malaysia EMAS Shariah Index (.FBMS.MY)$ climbed by 129.36 points, ending the week at 12,231.80. $FTSE Bursa Malaysia ACE Index (.FBMMES.MY)$ recorded a notable gain, rising by 148.57 points to close at 5,144.92, reflecting strong performance in the broader market.
Sectoral Gains and Losses: Financial Services and Plantation Lead, Energy Declines

Sectorally, $Bursa Finance Services (0010I.MY)$ experienced significant growth, surging by 252.26 points to close at 19,257.02, driven by increased investor interest in the financial sector due to anticipated economic growth and policy support. $Bursa Plantation (0025I.MY)$ saw a rise of 175.21 points, ending at 7,631.58, supported by expectations of stable demand and positive commodity prices.

In $Bursa Health Care (0062I.MY)$ sector, the index rose by 31.59 points, closing at 2,103.30, suggesting investor confidence in $Bursa Health Care (0062I.MY)$-related stocks, likely due to steady demand for $Bursa Health Care (0062I.MY)$ services and products. $Bursa Technology (0005I.MY)$ Index also recorded gains, rising by 2.85 points to 61.15, reflecting positive sentiment in $Bursa Technology (0005I.MY)$ stocks driven by anticipated growth in digitalization and innovation.

Conversely, $Bursa Energy (0061I.MY)$ declined by 4.72 points to 834.08, as investors showed caution in $Bursa Energy (0061I.MY)$ sector amidst fluctuating oil prices. $Bursa Industrial Products & Services (0002I.MY)$ also saw a slight decrease, edging down by 0.96 points to close at 172.61, reflecting a mixed outlook for $Bursa Industrial Products & Services (0002I.MY)$ products amidst broader market dynamics.
A notable rise in turnover and trading volume underscores investor confidence
A notable rise in turnover and trading volume underscores investor confidence
Volume and Turnover: Significant Increase in Trading Activity Across Markets

Trading activity on Bursa Malaysia was markedly higher, with total turnover rising to 14.87 billion units worth RM12.83 billion, up from 9.60 billion units valued at RM9.88 billion in the previous week. The Main Market volume increased significantly, reaching 7.63 billion shares valued at RM11.09 billion, compared to 5.30 billion shares worth RM8.88 billion in the prior week. This increase in trading volume and value indicates heightened investor activity and confidence in the market.

Warrant turnover also rose, reaching 4.53 billion units valued at RM691.43 million, compared with 2.55 billion units worth RM396.20 million previously, highlighting an increase in speculative trading as investors sought to capitalize on market movements. $FTSE Bursa Malaysia ACE Index (.FBMMES.MY)$ also saw a significant rise in volume, with 2.71 billion shares valued at RM1.03 billion, up from 1.71 billion shares valued at RM598.99 million. This surge in $FTSE Bursa Malaysia ACE Index (.FBMMES.MY)$ activity suggests strong interest in smaller and growth-oriented companies.

External Influences: Global Economic and Political Factors Supporting Market Sentiment

External economic and political developments played a crucial role in shaping market sentiment. The recent election in the United States, resulting in a Republican victory, has led to favorable expectations around economic policies, including trade policies focused on cost reduction and energy affordability. Additionally, anticipated rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of England are expected to support global economic activity, providing further tailwinds for $FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index (.KLSE.MY)$.

China’s ongoing commitment to a supportive monetary policy aimed at economic recovery is also seen as beneficial for global markets, adding to the optimism surrounding the Malaysian market. These external factors are anticipated to sustain $FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index (.KLSE.MY)$ performance in the near term, although market reactions to the U.S. election results may be short-lived as investors await more concrete policy directions.
Investors await Malaysia’s GDP data, projected to reinforce economic resilience
Investors await Malaysia’s GDP data, projected to reinforce economic resilience
Domestic Drivers: Anticipation of Malaysia’s GDP Data

A key factor influencing Bursa Malaysia’s outlook is the upcoming release of Malaysia’s third-quarter GDP data. The Department of Statistics Malaysia is expected to report GDP growth closely aligned with a preliminary estimate of 5.3%. Any figure exceeding 5.0% is likely to enhance investor sentiment, reinforcing confidence in Malaysia’s economic resilience and growth prospects.

The focus on domestic economic data aligns with investor interest in understanding the country’s economic recovery trajectory, especially in the context of global economic challenges. The release of GDP data is expected to provide insights into sectoral growth drivers and may further influence sector-specific performance on Bursa Malaysia.
The FBM KLCI is expected to trade within a cautious yet optimistic range
The FBM KLCI is expected to trade within a cautious yet optimistic range
Market Outlook: Projected Range and Investor Sentiment

Looking ahead, $FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index (.KLSE.MY)$ is anticipated to trade within a range of 1,610 to 1,640 points, reflecting a cautiously optimistic outlook as investors assess both global and domestic economic indicators. The market is expected to maintain an upward trajectory, supported by favorable external conditions and positive economic data. However, any unexpected developments in global or domestic policy could introduce volatility, with investors closely monitoring these factors to adjust their positions accordingly.

In summary, $FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index (.KLSE.MY)$ performance in the coming week will likely be influenced by a combination of external economic policies, domestic GDP data, and sectoral trends. The current market environment presents opportunities for investors, particularly in sectors like $Bursa Finance Services (0010I.MY)$, $Bursa Plantation (0025I.MY)$, and $Bursa Technology (0005I.MY)$, which have demonstrated resilience and growth potential.
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