TSLA
Tesla
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NVIDIA
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Rigetti Computing
-- 17.0800 BA
Boeing
-- 180.720 PLTR
Palantir
-- 79.080 Is it a good opportunity to buy on dips before the 29th earnings announcement for Nvidia, the AI emperor?!
● $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ は来週木曜日の取引時間終了後on(Japan time, August 29, 6:00 AM)Scheduled to announce FY2025 Q2 earnings.
● Prior to NVIDIA's earnings announcement, $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ 、 $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ 、 $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ 、 $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ Big tech companies contributing over 40% of NVIDIA's revenue,emphasizing commitment to investment in AI.Reed's Inc announced its earnings reports.
NVIDIA's revenue has shown strong growth for 3 consecutive quarters. The company's total revenue in the previous quarter reached a record high of 26 billion dollars, a 262% increase year-on-year. Revenue from the datacenter business hit a record high of 22.6 billion dollars, up 23% from the previous period and 427% from the same period last year.
According to moomoo, the market is expecting NVIDIA's FY2025 Q2revenue to increase by 112.03% year-on-year to 28.639 billion dollars、and EPS to be expected to increase by 141.49% year-on-year to 0.60 dollars (US GAAP).
● Prior to NVIDIA's earnings announcement, $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ 、 $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ 、 $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ 、 $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ Big tech companies contributing over 40% of NVIDIA's revenue,emphasizing commitment to investment in AI.Reed's Inc announced its earnings reports.
NVIDIA's revenue has shown strong growth for 3 consecutive quarters. The company's total revenue in the previous quarter reached a record high of 26 billion dollars, a 262% increase year-on-year. Revenue from the datacenter business hit a record high of 22.6 billion dollars, up 23% from the previous period and 427% from the same period last year.
According to moomoo, the market is expecting NVIDIA's FY2025 Q2revenue to increase by 112.03% year-on-year to 28.639 billion dollars、and EPS to be expected to increase by 141.49% year-on-year to 0.60 dollars (US GAAP).
AI hardware and chip-related companies are leading the rebound. $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ especially NVIDIA has risen nearly 30% from its August low, approaching an all-time high with a mere 6.1% difference at the close. $Micron Technology (MU.US)$、 $Marvell Technology (MRVL.US)$ 、 $Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$ 、 $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ 、 $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ 、 $Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$Other companies in the same industry are also key players in the rebound.
Amid swirling questions about the Federal Reserve Board's (FRB) policies, economic conditions, and the U.S. presidential election,One thing that is clear on Wall Street is that investing in artificial intelligence (ai) remains a top priority.Companies are investing billions of dollars in strengthening their AI infrastructure and services, with NVIDIA particularly benefiting. NVIDIA is expected to see further clarity on AI demand in next week's earnings report, with the possibility of hitting record highs in stock price.
"The development of AI infrastructure has just begun, and in terms of expected growth over the next few years, the outlook is very promising," noted Erik Swords, Lead Portfolio Manager at Voya Investment Management. This theme is not so much nearing the end as much as it has 'hardly scratched the surface.' Therefore, while there may be short-term volatility, there are no concerns in trading AI hardware stocks in the medium to long term."Although there may be volatility in the short term, there are no concerns in trading AI hardware stocks in the medium to long term," said the same individual.
With NVIDIA's second-quarter earnings approaching, expectations are rising for the company that holds a leadership position in several key growth markets. Over the past year, NVIDIA has seen a surge in demand across various end markets, primarily in the datacenter and gaming sectors. The adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning in data centers has been driving robust sales of NVIDIA's specialized Graphics Processing Units (GPUs) and networking products. Additionally, as many businesses transition to the cloud, the company is also reaping the benefits.
NVIDIA's earnings reports, $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ 、 $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ 、 $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ 、 $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ are announced a few weeks after other big tech companies like NVIDIA.These companies contribute more than 40% of NVIDIA's revenue and emphasize their intention to continue investing in AI. $Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$The strong monthly sales of also demonstrate a robust demand for AI.
$Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ and $Meta Platforms (META.US)$を含むテクノロジー大手のCEOたちは、AIへの投資不足のリスクを避けるために、むしろ過剰に支出することを選ぶと述べている。これらの企業が持つ豊富な資金力を考えると、経済環境が悪化したとしても、AIへの支出が持続する可能性が高いことを示唆している。
Allspring Global Investmentsのシニアポートフォリオマネージャー、ブライアント・ヴァンクロンカイト氏は、「これほど大きな企業には資源の限界はなく、もし自社の優位性が脅かされると感じたら、AIに何年も投資し続けることができる」と述べている。
AIインフラの構築は巨大かつ長期的なものになると予測されている。Needhamによると、ある生成AIインフラ企業のCEOとの会話を引用し、GenAIを支えるために必要なデータセンターインフラへの投資は6 trillionドルに達する可能性があるとされている。
ゴールドマン・サックスのアナリストであるToshiya Hari氏やAnmol Makkar氏などは最近のレポートで、大型クラウドサービスプロバイダーや企業顧客の強力な需要に支えられ、NVIDIAがAIと加速コンピューティング分野で強力な地位を維持し続けると述べ、引き続き「買い」評価を維持していると指摘している。レポートでは、BlackwellシリーズのGPUの出荷遅延が基本的な状況に波動をもたらしたものの、公式の発言やサプライチェーンに関連するデータに基づき、NVIDIAの収益力に対して依然として信頼があり、2025年の1株当たり利益が4.16ドルに達すると予測しており、市場の一般的な予想を11%上回ると指摘している。
However, there is evidence that this trend is not fully appreciated in the market. Solita Marcelli, Chief Investment Officer for the Americas at UBS Global Wealth Management, estimates that capital investment by major technology companies could increase by up to 25% by 2025, significantly exceeding the consensus estimate of 10-15% growth.
He notes that this is particularly positive for AI-driven companies in the semiconductor sector.
The current surge in GPU demand may be mitigated as the initial training phase of large-scale AI language models slows down. After the models are trained, the utilization phase of these models may shift to low power requirements and even processing on devices, potentially suppressing the growth in GPU demand.
Furthermore, some analysts point out that the investment in AI by NVIDIA's large customers has not yet led to substantial profit growth or significant efficiency improvements. While the impact on NVIDIA's AI investment by its major customers is believed to be minimal, it is still being closely monitored as a risk. Competition is also intensifying, with companies like AMD making large investments to catch up in this field.
According to Market Chameleon, NVIDIA has had about a 75% probability of rising on earnings announcement days in the past 12 quarterly earnings dates. The average stock price fluctuation is ±8.1%, with a maximum increase rate of +24.4% and a maximum decrease rate of -7.6%.
Some investors seem to be bracing for a significant impact. Currently, NVIDIA's implied move is ±10.9%, indicating that the options market is betting on a 10.9% performance-based increase or loss after one day. In contrast, the average stock price volatility after NVIDIA's last 4 quarters is ±7.1%, suggesting that the current options are overvalued.
As seen in the skewness of options volatility, market sentiment is somewhat bullish on NVIDIA.
- moomoo News Zeber
Source: moomoo, Bloomberg, Forbes
This article uses auto-translation in some parts.
Source: moomoo, Bloomberg, Forbes
This article uses auto-translation in some parts.
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only.
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masa0111 : There's still more to come, NVIDIA
sonobe : If profits double, the stock price will probably be higher than my expectations for the annual forecast![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
It makes me look forward to it![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
k0ta81r1 : Both the Dow and NASS are in the high price range, and is it really possible to break through with NVDA alone?
When there are people who don't sell because of the appreciation of the yen, we use a strategy to make a profit by selling out and go in again.
182526358 : Dear moomoo,
Thank you for always providing wonderful information. I always refer to your overseas information. I am particularly interested in NVIDIA-related information this time. Please continue to provide HOT information on US stocks.
KAZU SUN : I bought about 20 shares of NVIDIA when the market opened. I will sell them immediately if the price goes up after the earnings for some pocket money.