Prioritize the optimization work of investment symbols in complex composite stage investment trading for mental health, investment trading, and game strategy schemes.
The reference domain for the main settling area and extreme value area of high-probability events:
Stock price enters212.100-202.130 rangeRestartProtective fundPlanned and systematic, divided into gradients and batches, discrete random variables, opening position layout.
Stock price enters人与人的差距，表面上看是财富的差距，实际上是福报的差距；表面上看是人脉的差距，实际上是人品的差距；表面上看是气质的差距，实际上是涵养的差距；表面上看是容貌的差距，实际上是心地的差距；表面上看是人与人都差不多，内心境界却大不相同，后者决定命运。 RestartBuy heavy on significant dips fundPlanned and systematic, divided into gradients and batches, discrete random variables, opening position layout.
On the technical aspect of Tesla investment trades: wait for opportunities to arise.Probable eventbyMain settlement area和Extreme value areaAppeared to exert force again. Regarding events with a high probabilitynon-main settling areasThen it is partially ignored. The difficulty of high-quality investment is far greater than the difficulty of speculative trading.
When most people talk about "symbolic"Darkest Hour"when it arrives if you can seethe price deviates from the intrinsic valuegeneratedThere is no content here.Instead of being anxious, remain calm, think of solutions calmly and rationally.Increase the number of stocks held.Be good at using the market instead of being used by the market.
This will become a part of your investment history.Highlight Moment。
The stage of decline is to turn decay into magic.Use what will definitely happen tomorrow to infer what needs to be done immediately today.Once the goal is clear, the to-do list becomes shorter; with a shorter to-do list, efforts go deeper. The low point is for upgrading, not for factory reset. This autumn, for those willing to trade, wake up, rise up, dark horse emerges, perfect comeback. Are you confident?
WithA happy and open mindsetCorrectly deal with the decline, focus on the long term and the future. Do not open fire prematurely, wait to enter the anti-aircraft firepower ambush zone before acting. Only by avoiding the tops and mid-sections of large declines, in the extreme value zone at the end of the decline, which is also known as the hidden Markov model in mathematics.Probable eventbyMain settlement areaOnly with sufficient financial firepower can one engage in a life-and-death battle with ferocious bears; only then can full potential be realized.The most powerful and efficient use of limited financial firepower.Only then can one purchase as many as possible.Enough cheap low-level chips can be obtained.Only by experiencing as little torment and suffering as possible in the dark world. Isn't this exactly the responsibility and function that applied mathematics bears?
Only in this way, can you obtain chips cheap enough and in sufficient quantities for a solid foundation for investment success in the long days ahead. At the end of a downturn (not necessarily the end, can be encountered but not sought after), plan systematically, in stages and batches, with a discrete random variable, and establish positions strategically. Reckless bravery without strategy is unacceptable.
Everything requires the right approach and method.
Quantitative analysis of the differentiation of the three major curves functions of the S&P 500 and the profit chip ratio curve function of Tesla stocks is surprising. Elias=Jerome warns himself.Be sure to let go of the possible downturn in the top and middle stages.(The delayed production and supply of low-cost popular electric autos have greatly reduced profit margins, while autonomous driving is facing challenges in perfecting its own technology and legal procedures for market adoption, and siasun robot&automation may not generate profits in the short term; geopolitical turmoil, and Musk's premature public declaration of leaning towards extreme right-wing candidates, may all be reasons for the current decline.) Waiting patiently for the decline.End stage(Not necessarily the end, fortunes may change).End stage(Not necessarily the end, fortunes may change).
Probably an unlikely event.Main settlement area（Extreme oversold area）Do not trade.
Significant declineMain downtrend segmentMust allThoroughly avoid, eliminate the worry of not copying to the endfear of missing outthis kind of thinking because there is no risk of emptying while the stock price is risingno risk of empty positions because we already have long positions. Overly worrying about not being able to clear to the end, this is actually a kind of greed condemned by the "Bible" human greedone kind of manifestation
ApplicationBaum-Welch (Baum-Welch) algorithm model和Hidden Markov (Markov) modelandProfit margin ratio function curve trajectory equationAt that time, a very crucial point is to findProbable eventbyMain settlement area, then deploy the main capital firepower in that area; for the high-probability events innon-main settling areaswhile giving a certain degree ofneglect, thereby greatly improvingthe effectiveness and efficiency of fund firepower。
This is also the main reason why James Harris Simons, a world-class great mathematician, investor with a net worth exceeding $24 billion, philanthropist, led the establishment of Renaissance Technologies LLC in 1988, which created the most profitable investment portfolio for the company, the 'Medallion Fund', dominating Wall Street in the financial market, strategically outperforming, and consistently surpassing the stock god Warren Edward Buffett and the financial giant George Soros.
Renaissance Technologies LLC has an average annual fund return rate of over 70%. The quantitative model of the Medallion Fund is based on Leonard Baum's Baum-Welch algorithm modelbyImprovement和ExpansionExploring the correlation between profits, this improvement was pioneered by the algebraist James Coase. Simons and Coase established a fund based on this, naming it the “Grand Prize” to commemorate the mathematical honors they had previously received.
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Elon Musk: "The American autos industry is very challenging," only "Ford and Tesla have not gone bankrupt".
When asked why they did not acquire rival Rivian, Musk responded that he hopes everything goes well for Rivian. The American auto industry is very challenging, and without the breakthrough in electrification and autonomous driving technologies, Tesla would not have succeeded.
Facing fierce competition in the American auto industry, the startup electric vehicle company Rivian Automotive, once hailed as a strong rival to Tesla, is facing increasingly difficult circumstances and was recently caught up in rumors of being acquired by Tesla.
On October 19th local time, at an event in Pennsylvania, when asked why they did not acquire Rivian, Tesla CEO Musk stated that despite fierce industry competition, he hopes Rivian can succeed and get through tough times. Musk also emphasized that Tesla will focus on its own business development.
Musk mentioned that the American auto industry is extremely challenging, with only Ford and Tesla remaining solvent. He wishes Rivian all the best: 'I wish them all the best. I hope they do well. The auto industry is very tough, with only two American auto companies not bankrupt, Ford and Tesla. Rivian will have a hard time, as competition in the auto industry is very tough. Without two breakthrough technologies, electrification and autonomous driving, I believe Tesla would also not have succeeded.'
Rivian is a new American electric vehicle manufacturer that once secured a $5 billion investment intention from Volkswagen. However, this company has gradually fallen behind in the intense industry competition, with poor financial condition and continuous decline in stock prices this year.
Analysis points out that Rivian's issue lies in the fact that the prices of most of the company's models are not affordable for ordinary consumers. The company plans to launch a compact model R2 at the end of 2026 or 2027, aimed at competing with Tesla's Model Y.
Earlier this month, Rivian announced that third-quarter deliveries fell short of expectations and lowered full-year production guidance due to 'component shortages.' The company delivered 10,018 vehicles and produced 13,157 vehicles in the third quarter, both below FactSet's estimate of 12,670 vehicles.
Last month, in the backdrop of a slowing automotive market, Morgan Stanley analysts downgraded the ratings of companies like General Motors, Ford, Rivian, Magna International, and Phenix, among others.
Rivian's stock price has dropped by 57% this year, approaching its historical low, with a short interest rate of approximately 16.5%, about 0.1223 billion shares.
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成熟投资者：格局，概率，取舍。没有格局必然急功近利。不计概率会把运气当技术。不懂取舍，有所不为，最后必落入陷阱和圈套。
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