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For example, LICN

While we may not know the exact methods of the individuals manipulating stock prices, it is certain that they profit by purchasing stocks cheaply and selling them to victims at high prices.
Therefore, by carefully examining the trading data facts, you can confirm what is happening.
By doing so, you can clearly notice that something strange is happening.
For example, LICN
Looking at the open interest distribution as of October 14, 2024, the lower red horizontal axis area is the zone with unrealized gains. Basically, before a market crash, the high price tends to form an upward trend, so the profit ratio is often 100%. In the case of LICN, since it did not rise that high, it may have been a kind of failed case.
For example, LICN
Next, when you look at the distribution as of December 5, 2024, you can see that many of the lower holders are selling off.
However, since the stock price has not crashed yet, the profit ratio is around 98%, and holders who bought at higher prices are still holding unrealized gains, feeling complacent without a sense of crisis.
For example, LICN
The higher holders who were late to escape after the crash are located at the upper green area in the figure. In stocks like LICN, the profit ratio may reach around 1% at this point, but as LICN is in the U.S. stock market, swing traders keep an eye on price movements and buy heavily at lower prices. This leads to a zone at the bottom with unrealized gains immediately after the crash.
From here on, it will serve as a tool for swing traders for a while, and the stock price will continue to fluctuate up and down.
It is rare for a $2 stock to suddenly become $4 or $6, but it is quite possible for a $0.2 stock to reach $0.6 or $0.8 within the same day. In terms of price movements, fluctuations of around 50% in a day are not uncommon.
During such times, there may be excitement with disappointment and stop-losses from top-holders who were left behind and so on.
After going through such stages, when trading volume finally decreases, swing traders start looking for other opportunities and gradually disappear, leading to many cases of stock prices continuing to decline aimlessly.
It may seem like a sudden crash, but looking at the data consistently reveals the lack of actual strength in the stock, yet it continues to show a beautiful curve with the right shoulder rising. However, by monitoring the buying and selling trends, you will notice that at some point the selling begins. By looking at the ticker and filled data, you can see unnatural orders appearing clearly, causing price adjustments. In the final stage, even though selling pressure is high every day, the stock price continues to rise, and symptoms of the end stage are also evident on the graph.
As long as you are being deceived, you are in a blind state only looking at the stock price and your unrealized gains, so you may not even realize such clear facts.
Let's be careful not to become victims.
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Easy come, Easy go 暴落被害についてはここにあるノートもご参考に
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