ひろ0723 commented on a stock · Dec 25 06:33

For those who resist 3 Bears and feel a sense of evil ways.

$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3x Shares ETF (TMV.US)$ Yesterday, it touched 40 and was about to hit a year-to-date high, but suddenly the 30-year bonds saw a mysterious buying which led to a sharp decline in interest rates.Last week, with a large short selling position of over 20 million shares in TLT, I was expecting a buyback sometime before the end of the year, which happened yesterday.I think the selling of government bonds in the first half was mainly done by individuals to secure cash positions before Christmas. I speculate that when interest rates rose and selling peaked, funds bought back government bonds and TLT. It was probably a temporary situation, so it was good to sell below 40 at the beginning of the year.Now, getting to the main point, while Bull Leverage is a high-tech leverage with rising expectations, Bear Commodities with expectations of decline are minor and somewhat resistant. I also had some resistance at first, feeling a bit contradictory and stubborn, but eventually overcame it. This TMV is a 3x Bear based on TLT with 30-year bonds as the investment target, so when interest rates fall, it falls by 3 times the percentage of TLT's rise. In other words, TLT rises when interest rates fall, indicating an economic downturn. On the other hand, TLT decreases when interest rates rise, signaling an upward economy with inflation tendencies. Therefore, TMV is a product that rises by 3 times in line with the economy in a good economic situation where US bond interest rates rise! BurnTMV is a thrilling Commodity ETF that bets on the USA economy with a strong punch!! What do you think? Don't you feel a positive vibe about it?There's no need to exaggerate, just link it to changes in interest rates. After selling 3 Bulls at the September FOMC meeting, I started thinking and focused on TMV due to Trump's election. I'm going all in next year for real!If the scenario changes and it drops, retreat immediately!! That's the plan! I don't think there's anyone buying TMV though..

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ひろ0723 OP : There are no Commodity ETFs that are the target of rising interest rates in the first place, that's why it's bearish, but if there were, TMV would be a Gold rising interest rate 3-bull.

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ひろ0723

NAS100でNISA満タン+QQQ、JEPQでたっぷり。SOX当面無視。2025データ系電力系・防衛宇宙・金・レジャー・量子でやり散らかす！

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