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Global container rates surge to 2022 highs, China manufacturing & output strengthens for 7th month amid chip demand. Investor implications. 7 points

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Jessica Amir joined discussion · Jun 3, 2024 15:22
Global container rates surge to 2022 highs, China manufacturing and output strengthens for 7th month amid chip demand + investor implications
1- China's manufacturing and output grows stronger than expected, with the readings the highest since June 2022. The Caixin PMI Index rose to 51.7, vs Est. 51.6. Manufacturing output hit 54.3 vs 53.1 in April.
Source: Reuters
Source: Reuters
2- 40-ft container rates are the highest since 2022. But they'll rise again. Container rate prices are up over 178% this year to $4,226, their highest since 2022, reflecting rising goods demand.
40 ft container rates. Source Bloomberg, moomoo
40 ft container rates. Source Bloomberg, moomoo
3 - Container rates will probably rise again as OPEC+ agreed to extend oil production cuts till 2024 end to support oil prices. Erm okay. But we're coming up to peak oil demand season with Northern Hemisphere summer with diesel demand (for planes) and freight demand to rise. So say hello to rising oil prices with demand to push up, and supply to reduce. And expect business to pass on higher freight costs to the consumer too.
4 - This shows inflation will pick up again, and validates where momentum is in financial markets; commodities, chips, energy prices, uranium. Investors need to pay attention to this.
5- In three months, Copper & Aluminum prices +19% Nickel +10%, Silver +26% Wheat + 22%
6- So let's look at momentum in the stock market. It pays to do this, as the best stock market performers this year are beneficiaries of global growth, Chip demand > commodity demand > demand for cheaper alternatives to energy (as data centers need power 24-7).
Top ASX200 $S&P/ASX 200 (.XJO.AU)$ players
- $Alumina Ltd (AWC.AU)$ Alumina + 108% YTD (Alumina, Aluminum)
- $Paladin Energy Ltd (PDN.AU)$ Paladin Energy +65% YTD (Uranium)
- $Megaport Ltd (MP1.AU)$ Megaport +47% YTD (data centre)
- $Altium Ltd (ALU.AU)$ Altium + 42% YTD (circuit board maker)
Best/ Worst ASX200 performers. Source Bloomberg, moomoo
Best/ Worst ASX200 performers. Source Bloomberg, moomoo
Top S&P500 players
- $Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$ Super Micro Computer +175% YTD (Server maker)
- $Vistra Energy (VST.US)$ Vistra +157% YTD (Nuclear, gas, coal)
- $Constellation Energy (CEG.US)$Constellation Energy +85% YTD (Nuclear energy)

Best/ Worst S&P500 performers. Source Bloomberg, moomoo
Best/ Worst S&P500 performers. Source Bloomberg, moomoo
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only. Read more
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    Jessica Amir
    Moomoo Official Market Strategist
    moomoo, market strategist. Seen/heard on Fox News Business, ABC, SBS, Reuters wires. Investor/Trader. Connect with me.
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