Has the leading role in stock prices changed from NVIDIA to Tesla? Tesla stock, what is the next detonator?

The number of cars delivered by Tesla in the second quarter was 444,000 units, which exceeded the forecast of 439,000 units,It held the top position in the world in terms of electric vehicle sales. This good performance includes Tesla's 0% or lower interest loans in several regionsOffer incentivesWhat did you do, and the Model 3 Long Range recently in the USRequalify for IRA tax creditsIt was achieved due to various factors, such as what was done. According to Morgan Stanley analysts, Tesla's second quarter report is”First positive surprise of the yearIt is said”.

That's not the only good news.Tesla's solar power generation and storage business also broke new ground in the second quarter。

On the 2nd, Tesla Energy, Tesla's energy subsidiary, deployed 9.4 GWh of energy storage in the 2nd quarter,Record breaking record on a quarterly basisI did it. Compared to the previous fiscal year129%Compared to the previous year,157%It's calledRecord an astonishing growth rateI did it. According to analysts, together with the 4.1 GWh energy storage deployed by Tesla in the first quarter, the cumulative value for the first half of this year reached 13.5 GWh,This is close to the 14.724 GWh energy storage that Tesla deployed for the full year last yearIt's called. Morgan Stanley says Tesla has a “key card” for solar power generation and energy storage, and theseIt will be an important trump card for the next AI investmentI said that would be it.

According to Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas,Huge demand for power for AI data centers will make Tesla an important participant in the US energy marketThey say that's probably it. He is Tesla Energy's 2024Sales exceeded 7 billion dollarsIn 2025Profit margins are likely to surpass Tesla's automotive businessI anticipate that there will be one. By 2030,Tesla Energy is a major contributor to Tesla's overall profitabilityThey say they will.

According to past statistics,July is a “lucky month” for Teslathat's it. In July of the past 9 years,Tesla's stock price has risen 6 timesAnd what is that probability67%It reached, and above all, there was a sharp rise in July 2020 and 2022, and in the same monthUp more than 32%I did it.

What should be noted is that car delivery data is just one of the short-term factors affecting Tesla's stock price. InvestorsIn the next 6 weeks, we will have two important events: the latest financial results report and the debut of RoboTaxiThat's going to happen.

Tesla will announce financial results after closing on July 23. Analysts lowered Tesla's second-quarter earnings forecast because car delivery forecasts for the second quarter were lowered.The company's deceleration in car sales has already been factored inAnd what about the reduction in profit forecastsThe hurdles for achieving expectations will also be lowerIt means.

What should be noted is Tesla's stock priceIt shows a unique pattern before and after financial results are announced。There is a tendency for downward pressure to be applied to stock prices 2 weeks before financial results are announcedbutThe 2 weeks after the announcement are often accompanied by a significant backlash. This pattern is not a general market phenomenon, and appears to be specific to Tesla's volatility. According to statistics for the past 12 quarters, TeslaAn average increase of 6.7% two weeks after financial results were announcedWhereas I did2.9% decline in the 2 weeks before the announcementIt was.

Elon Musk has been saying for a long time what is Tesla's long-term valuea.iwithroboticsIt has been stated that it will be brought about by. Robotaxi's debut on 8/8 is an event showcasing Tesla's fully autonomous driving (FSD) technology and future vision.A historic milestone for the company's growth towards autonomous drivingIt becomes. On social media X (formerly Twitter), Musk said, “If Tesla completely solves the problem of autonomous driving and can mass-produce the humanoid robot “Optimus,”People with short positions will be wiped out, even Bill GatesProbably,” he warned.

Wedbush analyst Dan IvesTesla is the most underrated AI company in the entire marketNext month's “Robotaxi Day” will be an important moment in Tesla's history,Will it be the catalyst for Tesla's stock price rise in the short termI said that would be it.

The optimistic view is mainlyRecovery in demand for electric vehicles、Tesla's AI business、Energy storage business、Growth potential through the autonomous driving service “Robotaxi”I'm concentrating.

Wedbush has shown optimism, and the company is ahead of the historic Robo-Taxi Day on August 8Overcoming a difficult period, I finally got on the updraftI said it. Tesla's next 12 monthsRaise target share price from $275 to $300, by 2025The stock price doubles to $400It is predicted.

CFRA's Garrett Nelson believes that concerns about sluggish demand for electric vehicles have been drastically mitigated because Tesla's number of car deliveries has exceeded expectations, and for the next 12 monthsThe target stock price was raised by $20 to $250。

Meanwhile, the bears are stillTesla fundamentalsIt shows concern about electric vehicle sales in the USTesla's leading position is decliningI'm thinking about it. According to Motor Intelligence data, Tesla's share of electric vehicle sales in the US in May was about50%So, in the same period last yearReduced from around 60%I did it.