TSLA
Tesla
-- 403.840 NVDA
NVIDIA
-- 134.290 LAES
SEALSQ Corp
-- 6.150 MSTR
MicroStrategy
-- 289.620 PLTR
Palantir
-- 75.630 
Here's my take on 2025
Buckle up, it's a long one. Feel free to scroll past if you're short on time, but I think it's worth the read.
Reflecting on 2024
2024 was a solid year. I'd give myself a B+, mostly because I left money on the table. I was early identifying trends and winners, but I sold too soon. Big names like $Rocket Lab (RKLB.US)$ , $IonQ Inc (IONQ.US)$ , and $Oklo Inc (OKLO.US)$ could’ve been massive multi-baggers if I’d held longer. Instead of taking 70% gains, I should’ve waited for the bigger picture and gone for hundreds of percent.
Lesson learned: In 2025, I'm aiming to hold longer when conviction is high.
What’s Ahead for 2025
Let’s be real: 2025 probably won’t match 2024’s returns. I’m not expecting a 2022-style crash, but I do think the upside will be more muted.
A couple of stats to set the stage:
1. The last time we had back-to-back +25% years on the S&P500 (like 2023 and 2024) was in 1997–1998. In 1999, we still had a solid +20% year, but it wasn’t the same.
2. Historically, 6 out of the last 7 first years of a new Republican president have been red. The only exception? Trump’s first year.
That said, I still expect an up year overall—just with more volatility. A 10%+ pullback in the first half of the year wouldn’t surprise me, especially with Trump back in office stirring up tariffs, headlines, and uncertainty. That’ll create opportunities to buy into the strongest names during the dips.
The Fed factor:Rate cuts are coming, and I think the market is underestimating how aggressive the Fed will get. My take? We’ll see4+ cutsif unemployment ticks up. Rate cuts will act as a tailwind for equities.
The bond/yield/dollar triangle:Something’s gotta give. Yields are high, TLT is at lows, and the dollar is strong. This can’t last. I’m betting yields drop in 2025.
1. Batteries:
This sector is still in its early days. Batteries are the backbone of future tech—think robots, EVTOL, AR/VR. Lithium should benefit too.
2. Robotics:
This is where AI meets the real world. Companies like Tesla and Figure are making huge strides. I think we’ll see a breakthrough “ChatGPT moment” for robotics in 2025.
3. Bitcoin:
I expect dips to get bought hard. Anything around $70K–80K is an easy buy, IMO.
Some Non-Consensus Takes
Solar and China:
Consensus was that Biden would be great for these sectors, but they underperformed. Maybe they make a comeback in 2025? I like $FSLR in solar.
Energy:
Trump’s pro-drilling stance might seem bearish for oil, but I think it’ll actually help names like $XOM and $CVX. Increased production and relaxed regulations should boost earnings.
M&A:
Expect more buyouts in 2025. I think Lina Khan gets replaced, which could open the floodgates for M&A. I’ll share a watchlist soon.
Mid/Large Caps:
$Uber Technologies (UBER.US)$ $HON $KTOS $SQ $SONY $COIN $TTWO $TEM $NBIS
Small Caps:
$EOSE $ENVX $OUST $AEHR $HNST
“Sci-Fi” Plays:
That's 16 names total. I think this basket can outperform in 2025, even in a more volatile market.
Cheers to a strong year ahead—good luck out there!
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.
Read more
Comment
Sign in to post a comment
🌲ex IBDer
📝Swing Trader since 2014
📚There are 3 ways to earn money: be fast, be smart or cheat.
857Followers
34Following
4678Visitors
Follow
Wekang :
Wekang : I think it is not wrong taking exit earlier, depend the risk you could bear. it will protect you from falling knife when it happened. luckily it is not yet happening. if it happen you are safe then.. Win is a win.. be proud of yourself. Cheers![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")