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$Hesai (HSAI.US)$ Risk Level: 6 (Moderate Risk) The stock, H...

Risk Level: 6 (Moderate Risk)
The stock, HSAI, presents a moderate risk for swing trading due to a mixture of positive market sentiment and underlying financial challenges. Recent positive news about strategic partnerships increases short-term volatility, which while providing trade opportunities, also presents a moderate risk in terms of price fluctuations. The lack of profitability and negative retained earnings of the company elevate the risk profile, though strong liquidity mitigates some financial risks. Given the presence of clear support levels and the company's integration into a sector with moderate interest, the overall risk level remains balanced but should be approached with caution. A risk level of 6 reflects the potential for rewards aligned with moderate speculative risk.
Key attributes
Recent earnings ( yes), Breakout ( yes), Catalyst ( yes), Good company ( yes), Valid float ( yes), Near 52 high ( yes) , Dollar break ( yes) , hot sector ( no)
upswing viability score : 8.9/10
Support and Resistance Levels
Support Level: Established at $8.75, indicating a strong consolidation point that can act as a buying opportunity.
Resistance Level: Found at $14.12, which is the recent high achieved post-breakout and needs to be surpassed for further gains.
Key Breakout Level: Noted at $11.86, where significant price action was previously observed, confirming it as an essential level for validating upward momentum.
Testing Support: The price consistently tested the $11.4-$11.5 levels during consolidation, reinforcing buying interest at this price range.
Chart Breakout: The price extended beyond $11.86 on 2024-12-17, showcasing a robust bullish trajectory.
Trading Strategy
Given the current scoring and analysis, we would consider a long position on HSAI. With $10,000 at our disposal, the strategy is to buy approximately 117 shares at an expected entry of $14.50 per share, targeting a profitable exit at $25.34, with a stop-loss placed at $11.451. This plan entails investing 17.11% of the available capital, respecting a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3.55, which optimizes the potential upside while safeguarding against excessive loss. The entry and exit targets are influenced by price action near key levels and anticipated future market behavior spurred by positive sector news.
Equity: $10,000
Bias: Long
Allocation: 17.11%
Position Size: 117 shares
Entry Price: $14.50
Exit Price: $25.34
Stop-Loss Price: $11.451
Risk/Reward: 1:3.55
Conclusion
Based on the comprehensive analysis, HSAI represents a viable swing trade opportunity with a promising score of 8.9. Despite its negative profitability status, the positive news surrounding strategic engagements in the automotive industry supports favorable market sentiment. Strong support and resistance levels further highlight potential trade profitability. The risk associated with this vehicle technology firm is moderate, largely influenced by financial instability markers which are, however, offset with strategic industry positions and viable cash reserves. It may warrant trader interest, with strict adherence to defined strategy parameters.
Final Verdict: Trade
The analysis suggests that HSAI is a promising candidate for swing trading, supported by solid technical signals and positive sector momentum. While carrying moderate risk, the structured strategy provides an opportunity for rewarding returns.
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only. Read more
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