How do you look at the unemployment rate!?
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ The unemployment rate is the result of the previous month, so I think of it as a delayed effect index 🤔
The current unemployment rate forecast is 3.9%, but first I expect 4%! If by any chance it is 4.1%, the Therm Rule will be activated 😋
The point this time is whether the Therm Rule will be activated this month or next month!? it just so happens to be far away!?
Canada 🇨🇦 Europe has begun to cut interest rates, and I would like to wait for the results while predicting the countdown to America's interest rate cuts next 😊
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.
Read more
Comment
Sign in to post a comment
今は米国債一本です！
とりあえず1億目指してます😊
YouTubeチャンネルhttps://youtube.com/@user-pr7ge3in4e?si=hWDGiL3V0ehJzwu
174Followers
11Following
814Visitors
Follow
投資家 t9m OP : 4% result! Leave the summer rules until July
Employment statistics are still a mess
I want this to be a great shopping place
あなたのはレビオサー : Rumor has it that employment statistics also include workers on the 1st of the month or several days a week
The number of unemployed people has increased, continued unemployment insurance has also increased, and I think this is distorted
The number of homeless people also exceeds 600,000, so what is America doing when combined with people living in cars
I think this result will be painful for the Fed
I'm losing more and more timing when interest rates can be cut
I think this is the best development for us debt ETF players
新div : The US regional bank is particularly dangerous
in 2023/Q3
What was 52 lines has increased to 63 lines after finishing the 2024 Q1 financial results.
Currently, there are approximately 5200 liabilities with undetermined losses due to unrealized losses
I have a billion dollars and I have to refinance from time to time.
Japan's
Mitsubishi and Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation sell Toyota shares for 1.3 trillion dollars
Large companies are cashing in at this time of year
What are you going to use it for?
投資家 t9m OP あなたのはレビオサー : It looks like it's going to be the usual pattern
We're just waiting for interest rate cuts
投資家 t9m OP 新div : I hope for a hard landing in six months
新div : I can't see it in economic indicators
The vicious cycle of the economy
In the shadow of the 280,000 people who have increased in employment
The number of regular workers and full-time full-time employees decreased by 650,000
The reality that the number of part-timers is increasing
What has increased is centered on healthcare and services
So if you think about sectors that are declining
Labor shortages have not changed, and manufacturing is tough.
In order for the number of immigrants to increase and turn the US economy around,
Economic revitalization will also be necessary in order to print dollars that are insufficient with the current dollar supply.
Weak banks collapse and financial institutions also become strong banks
It will be taken in and the economy will be strengthened.
投資家 t9m OP 新div : What will happen if immigration policies are adopted!?
After that, history will repeat itself
新div : In order to win the Biden election,
It gave me the economy no matter what
Elections with convenient data
Get through it.
When it comes to presidential elections, the United States will be divided
Politicians from each faction are desperate to collect money.
Heaven if you win, hell if you lose
Either way
I can only see a future where budgets will increase.
Bonds are printed in a flash.
In order to sell bonds,
Withdraw money from the market
Hurt the economy
Stock prices have fallen
Sell bonds in large quantities.
To that end, is bank bankruptcy unavoidable?
投資家 t9m OP 新div : It's painful for creditor investors
However, there have been 3 recessions in the past during the presidential election! I will do my best at the patience tournament with everyone