I feel sorry for Chairman Powell 🤣🤣🤣

This is an interview on CBS that was broadcast on the 4th

While there is a possibility that interest rate cuts will be faster if data showing a softening labor market comes out, there is a possibility that interest rate cuts will be delayed more than expected if it is shown that inflation has stopped slowing...

I also once again expressed the idea that I would like to further deepen my conviction before starting interest rate cuts, so I think it's after MayThe current probability that interest rate cuts will begin on 5/1 has dropped to 50%

After all, I predict 3 times after May or later this year

Chairman Powell emphasizes that it depends on data, but he also touched on geopolitical risks, but the current situation is that risks are increasing in geopolitical situations rather than data

It also touched on China's real estate issues, etc., and stated that the impact will not be that big, but I think the relationship with China will deteriorate if Mr. Trump becomes president

Chairman Powell is concerned about Mr. Trump's movements and is making humble remarksI think they are in a difficult position after asking about the faces of President Biden and Mr. Trump politically