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Micron Q3 earnings: Time to buy the dip?
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I started building a position in $Micron Technology (MU.US)$...

I started building a position in $Micron Technology (MU.US)$ today in the low $130s (so I’m a little biased) but the stock is simply too cheap especially when you compare it to $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ .

$Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ has a $250B market cap and is expected to do $5.5B of EBITDA over the next 12 months so it’s trading at 45x NTM EV/EBITDA.

$Micron Technology (MU.US)$ has a $150B market cap and is expected to do $20B of EBITDA over the next 12 months so it’s trading at 7.5x NTM EV/EBITDA.

FWIW, I also have a position in $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ although I wish I didn’t. Thankfully my positions in $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ and $Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$ have more than made up for the $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ drag. It’s probably too late to sell mu $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ but they better do $8-10B next year in MI-chip sales or the stock will get pounded because it’s wildly overvalued in that scenario.

I know that $Micron Technology (MU.US)$ has always traded with a lower multiple because DRAM/SSD is a cyclical business with pricing troughs but HBM in the context of an AI-revolution means higher growth rates, higher margins, bigger profits, bigger buybacks … all of which should lead to multiple expansion.

I think $Micron Technology (MU.US)$ could be a $250 stock in the next 18 months.
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