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I think it is premature to anticipate a 0.5% rate cut (based on the steel mentor's thinking).

Based on the economic indicators of the USA, there is a possibility that inflation is still sticky based on the PPI data. Although the weekly number of unemployment insurance claims and employment statistics, especially the unemployment rate, are gradually increasing, I believe that the labor market is still maintaining its strength.
I think it is quite unlikely for the FRB to make a 0.5 interest rate cut at this stage. I believe it is closer to 0.25. If there was an increase in gold, bonds, and even bitcoin due to the anticipation of a 0.5 cut, it may be worth watching out for a temporary disappointment sell-off if a 0.25 rate cut is announced. However, I consider bitcoin as a risk asset, so a 0.25 rate cut can be seen as a precautionary measure, and I would like to continue to remain positive on stocks and bitcoin even if they are temporarily sold off.
If you have any opinions, please leave a comment. I am just an individual investor myself and I don't believe that my own forecast is always correct. If there are different views, I would be in trouble, so thank you in advance.
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  • ぴるさん : If there was a 0.5% rate cut, I think the remarks from the important people would have been more tumultuous, so it seems that the FOMC members don't want it.[undefined]
    The weather is good today
    The weather is good today.

  • J_M_RIN OP ぴるさん : If the inflation rate rapidly decreases or if there is a rapid deterioration in employment after September, the Federal Reserve may signal a card with a 0.5 interest rate to the market and may provide it in order to prevent a future sharp decline in stocks.[undefined]I believe that by constantly keeping the market aware of the economic downturn, it creates a suitable temperature.[undefined]

  • Kimihiko : I made Nick write it, so it's possible

  • J_M_RIN OP Kimihiko : もちろん可能性は消してませんよ[undefined]ただ株式の急騰予防としても捉えてます[undefined]コメントありがとうございます✨

  • tena0623 : In Nick's articles, etc., I will calmly observe whether the market will decline early this week! How will the weekend information be factored in, and so on. I think there is no information that the market will decline in the medium to long term.[undefined]However, if it goes down, it would be appreciated (regarding stocks, haha).

  • J_M_RIN OP tena0623 : It's important to be cautious at this stage, I have a feeling that the volatility will be higher next week from the weekend information.[undefined]

  • tena0623 J_M_RIN OP : That's right~[undefined]I don't plan to sell, but I'll stay positive and hope for a good buying opportunity.[undefined]Surely there will be various information riding on it (laughs).

SOXL、TSLL、マイニング株で中長期でまずは資産1億目指しているものです┏○ペコッ 鋼のメンタルは客観的データに基づくもの
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