To win in investments, consider the concept of "mastery cost."

Have you ever considered the "mastering cost" in your own investment/trading tactics?"Mastery Cost"Have you ever thought about the "mastery cost"?

What's important is that just because the learning curve is steep, it doesn't necessarily mean that the return will be proportionately high.
Not everyone who attends expensive cram schools or seminars succeeds in investing.

By putting in tremendous effort, spending years, incurring losses, and paying high tuition fees to learn strategies, are you consistently making profits? It would be wonderful if you could find a strategy that increases profits.

However, many people try various strategies, but none seem to lead to significant results.
And the important point is,Many Japanese people persist in dealing with high learning curves without seeing results.That's what it means.

In particular,The problem of continuously performing tactics with high mastery costs in the "predicting market trends" type, but not achieving results.It is.

A truth in investing that everyone would agree on.
The fact that stock price movements cannot be predicted and even if predicted, they are often incorrect.That point.

Although everyone understands this conceptually, they attempt to predict stock price movements through various approaches. They end up striving to predict the unpredictable, which leads to inevitable failure.

In my 20s and early 30s, I was obsessed with endlessly predicting the direction of the market and how far it would rise or fall with individual stock investments. I believe that's why I couldn't succeed.

The method of market prediction "high mastery cost", which I always deny in videos,
・Elliott Wave
・Merriman Cycle
・Price Range Theory (N value / E value / V value / VT value)
per.

are mostlyused to predict the direction of future markets and to predict how far they will rise or fall. However, for example, with Elliott Wave, there are probably 100 interpretations if there are 100 people.It is used to predict how far it will rise or fall. However, for example, with Elliott Wave, there will probably be 100 different interpretations if there are 100 people.

Is now the third wave of an uptrend or the fifth wave, or is it the a wave of a downtrend?
In the medium term, it's the third wave of an uptrend, but in the short term, is it the a wave of a downtrend, or what is the forecast ultimately?

It varies from person to person. It's likely different depending on the time frame.

According to the price range theory, regardless of the market condition and volatility, is it true that it will double if it drops by 1000 yen and then rebounds by 2000 yen?

In the Merriman cycle, from the recent low to low is one cycle. Saying it's 9 days or 9 weeks, is it forcing the cycle to fit in?
Some say it's 8 days, others say 11 days?

The deviation from the closing price of 2,371 yen on the 9th is about It's a matter of retrospectively fitting things together in the end.It will be favorable for US stocks.

The high cost of proficiency, even with everyone having clear understanding and making financial estimates, the results will probably vary quite a bit.
The market trends do not neatly fit into patterns of waves or price ranges. As a result, it will be influenced by each individual's discretionary image.

SoEven though 95% of people have paid high proficiency costs, the results are not satisfactory.That's why.

To put it in a more negative way...
High proficiency costs = less likely to be imitated by others = the sender appears special.
Therefore, there is a fact that the sender and the product seller find it easy to use.

This way of speaking may be irritating to those who are currently studying and practicing Elliott waves and cycle theory, as well as receiving criticism from leading figures. However, this is also the reality.

Complex theories that require a learning curve can continuously generate income from books and videos, but simple things like buying when the 5MA crosses can be difficult to monetize and may not generate continuous profits.

It's too easy so everyone graduates (lol).

Of course, I believe in the teachings of experts and authorities, so I do not deny the authenticity of such teachings. This applies to both Elliott and Merriman cycles.If asked whether it's zero or one, it's one.Some people can achieve results with this.

The problem lies not there, but in that.The problem is that only a very few authentic items have reproducibility.That's right.
No matter how high the cost is, 95% of people cannot reach the authentic realm.

It's a waste of time.

Many people try to predict stock prices or the direction of stock prices, take actions to secure maximum profits without giving up their heads and tails, and that's why they lose.

Even if you predict, even if the direction is short-term, it's impossible to win with tactics that only 5% of geniuses can reach. It's much simpler and easier to use something that will give the same result for everyone and then act on the result.

Reproducibility for 95% of peopleare available.

Technical and candlestick tactics are used not to make predictions, but to confirm results and follow them as quickly as possible.Said that the best way to use them is to confirm the result and follow promptly.You use them not to predict, but to follow the results as quickly as possible.
Because they misunderstand this, they make absurd denials like "charts are not useful" or "they are not meant to predict the future".

Anyone can understand that it is far more accurate not to spend time on methods to make predictions, but rather not to make predictions at all, and to take positions when results are known, like when signs appear on a chart.
However, because they want to take profits as much as possible, and they are greedy and want to trade at the right time, they end up trying to predict the market.

At this point,80% of people misunderstand their views on the market, investment, and trading.it
Therefore, it is impossible to win by wasting time leaning towards more costly methods of mastery. Even if you rely on beginners' luck or the financial estimates of experts to be right once or twice, it is almost certainly NO that you can continue to accumulate profits for 1 year, 3 years, 5 years, and beyond.

The following are the aphorisms that I arrived at after facing the market for 25 years through trial and error.

Simply by changing your awareness of these two points, I believe your investment performance will improve.
Because I was like that.