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Insider Selling in Skyrocketing Small Companies: Potential Risks?

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Analysts Notebook joined discussion · Dec 21, 2023 06:19
Insider transactions, especially those involving sales, can be interpreted differently and should be carefully analyzed. Although insider selling could indicate a lack of confidence in the company's future prospects, it is crucial to consider various factors such as the context and frequency of these transactions. Additionally, insider sales alone do not always predict a decline in the stock price. Market conditions, broader economic factors, and company-specific news can also play significant roles in the stock's performance. While insider selling can be alarming in some cases, it is only one aspect to consider when evaluating a company's stock potential.
• Insider Selling Activity at $Affirm Holdings (AFRM.US)$
Affirm Holdings CFO Michael Linford sold 65,000 shares of the business's stock in a transaction that occurred on Tuesday, December 19th. The shares were sold at an average price of $50, for a total value of $3,250,000.
Source: Barchart
Source: Barchart
Source: Barchart
Source: Barchart
Affirm is a digital and mobile-first commerce platform that operates in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company's platform comprises of a point-of-sale payment solution for consumers, merchant commerce solutions, and a consumer-focused app. By leveraging its commerce platform, agreements with originating banks, and capital markets partners, Affirm enables consumers to avail flexible payment options for their purchases over terms ranging up to 60 months. The company's shares have soared nearly 395.7% so far this year.
Affirm has received several research reports recently:
JPMorgan Chase & Co. increased the price objective to $18 and rated the company as "neutral," while Mizuho raised their target price from $24 to $30 and assigned a "buy" rating. On the same day, Wedbush reaffirmed an "underperform" rating with a target of $15. Jefferies Financial Group upgraded Affirm's stock rating from "underperform" to "hold" and raised the target price from $9.50 to $30. Truist Financial lifted their target price from $33 to $55 and rated the company as "buy." According to MarketBeat, six analysts rate the stock as "sell," eight assign a "hold" rating, and four award it a "buy" rating. The consensus rating for the stock is "Hold," with a consensus price target of $21.
• Insider Selling Activity at $Carvana (CVNA.US)$
On Tuesday, December 19th, Paul W. Breaux, an insider at Carvana Co., sold 20,000 shares of the company's stock at an average price of $59 per share, resulting in a total transaction value of $1,180,000.
Source: Barchart
Source: Barchart
Source: Barchart
Source: Barchart
Carvana Co and its subsidiaries run an e-commerce platform that facilitates the purchase and sale of used cars in the United States. The platform enables customers to research and choose a vehicle, inspect it using the company's 360-degree vehicle imaging technology, secure financing and warranty coverage, complete the purchase process, and schedule delivery or pick-up through their mobile or desktop devices. The company's shares have soared nearly 1128% so far this year.
Analysts have recently commented on Carvana stock:
Morgan Stanley lowered their price target to $32 and rated the company as "underweight," while Royal Bank of Canada reaffirmed an "underperform" rating with a $24 price target. William Blair reiterated a "market perform" rating and JPMorgan Chase & Co. upgraded to "neutral" from "underweight," with a raised target price of $40. Evercore ISI increased the target price to $42 with an "in-line" rating. According to MarketBeat, one analyst rates the stock as "buy," ten rate it as "hold", and three rate it as "sell." The consensus target price for the stock is $37.27.
• Insider Selling Activity at $DraftKings (DKNG.US)$
DraftKings insider Jason Robins sold 483,450 shares of the stock in a transaction that occurred on Wednesday, December 20th. The stock was sold at an average price of $35.473, for a total value of $17,149,422.
Source: Barchart
Source: Barchart
Source: Barchart
Source: Barchart
DraftKings Inc is a digital sports entertainment and gaming company that operates in the United States and internationally. The company offers various online services, including sports betting, casino gaming, and daily fantasy sports, as well as providing consumer products and retailing sportsbooks. Additionally, DraftKings designs and develops software for sports betting and casino gaming purposes, catering to both online and retail sportsbooks and iGaming operators. The company's shares have soared about 208.25% so far this year.
Several research analysts have provided reports on DraftKings shares recently:
Barclays raised the company's price objective to $32; Morgan Stanley to $36 and issued an "overweight" rating; UBS Group upgraded the stock to a "buy" rating and increased the target from $39 to $44; Argus raised the target from $40 to $46 with a "buy" rating and Guggenheim also gave a "buy" rating and raised the target from $39 to $45. According to MarketBeat, twenty-one analysts recommend buying, four suggest holding and three recommend selling. The consensus rating for the stock is "Moderate Buy," with an average target price of $35.86.
Source: Yahoo Finance, GuruFocus
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