What you need to know in two sentences: Markets fell from record all-time highs on hotter-than-expected US inflation, with many now debating if the Fed will pause rate cuts here.But we are seeing global investors and investors at moomoo alike, buy into Quality stocks and ETFs, with bets on for Nvidia$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$to hit a record of $150. The most traded stock at moomoo again this week was Nvidia with China's X3 leveraged ETF,$Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X Shares ETF (YINN.US)$also seeing a lot of activity.
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More detail...It’s a jagged pill for markets - Inflation is sticky; annual inflation rose by 0.1% more than expected, with yearly inflation rising to 3.3%YoY. So now expectations for Fed rate cuts have been shaved back with a cutthroat razor. The market threw away the idea of a super-sized US rate cut in November. And now markets are not even sure if the US central bank, the Fed will cut by 0.25% in November. Or even cut in December, January and March.
So when is inflation hot. But not too hot for some to handle. And could pick up again - as oil prices are 16% in the month. What do you need to consider when investing and trading?
1 - Well this scenarios means we could see the US dollar rise and US bond yields move up, like we saw overnight. This caused the small cap index, the Russel 2000 Index$Russell 2000 (LIST20783.US)$$iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM.US)$to fall, its now down 5% from its record high as small companies in this index generally carry higher debt in comparison to earnings they make.
3 - Speaking of Nvidia$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$, its stock is chasing toward it record high of $140.76 after rising almost 2% overnight to $134.81, its highest level since July. It seems many are underestimated the power of Nvidia. But if you were to look the options market, which is used by sophisticated traders, it’s telling us that market is very bullish on Nvidia, and there are two times as many calls. Or bets for it to rise, than there are puts, for it to fall. And option traders are also betting the world’s 2nd biggest company will soon hit $150.
4 - As for other stocks to watch Tesla$Tesla (TSLA.US)$is hot on the lips of traders ahead of its Robotaxi event.
5 - And focus is on benefactors from the lithium price seeing its first monthly jump since May. For more on lithium click here.
6 - Meanwhile there are now calls out there for China’s market to pick up after its sell off. Hedge funds sold a record amount of Chinese shares earlier this week after the CSI300 rose 37% in 6 days. But now some investment banks are betting China’s market could rise another 50% with Renaissance Macro Research saying investing in China is one of the best investing sets ups in 35 years.
More on China if you are interested. Why did its market rise and sell off? And what's ahead?We have to expect some profit taking after China's market rose 37% in 6 days. While traders are also considering the risks should China not deliver a second bazooka stimulus package on the weekend.
All in all, the runway forChina's market looks clear. It's bound for higher levels over the longer term thanks to the stimulus package announced last week. It's equivalent to about 6% of its GDP. Or US$1.1 trillion. This could be China's largest ever stimulus package in dollar terms.
Investors believe, now is the time to invest in China. The set up here could the biggest investing opportunity of our generation. We're seeing relentless flows into China's ETFs. Still week on week there are more flows into the CSI300 than US tech stocks and ETF.
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only.
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151453268 witso : Hey Jess, lipsticks popping, nice roundup usual conundrums in play just have to hold tight.