Is China’s new stimulus a strategic policy pivot or a short-term tactical move?
I see it as a rising sense of urgency instead of a panic among China's policymakers.
Some of these measures, particularly the $71B standby facility for share purchases, don't have an immediate effect. It really depends if non-banking institutions will utilize the facility to buy in the market. And the only reason they'll do that is if they see the potential for generating returns.
That means growth has to return to many parts of China's economy - parts that have wavered in the absence of fiscal stimulus and a struggling real estate sector.
I also expect Beijing to come out with more supportive measures now that they've seen how positively the market has reacted to their recent moves.
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