- Is it an upward trend in terms of fundamentals? However, can we have expectations...?
Technical analysis (Rating: 3/5, *rating: 2/5)
* From the perspective of leverage ETFs, it is expected to take significantly longer to exceed the standard than SOX. It is unlikely that there are currently enough upward trend materials to compensate for the weaknesses of leverage ETFs.It can be said that there is no problem with SOX itself.(1/5)
There is potential for the formation of a double bottom. However, it may take some time to break the neckline.
- Currently, it is being hindered by declining trend factors such as "①②③ hard landing concerns / Trump trade" and "④ worries about the unwinding of yen carry trades", and a trend reversal strong enough to negate ①②③ is necessary for a new high to be reached. Concerning ①②③, they have been temporarily resolved due to statements from Mr. Powell and Mr. Harris being dominant, and concerning ④, the Bank of Japan has indicated that it will maintain the current monetary policy (postponement of interest rate hikes and observation of the market) on 9/20. As an immediate goal, it is urgent to surpass the reference point of the purple square. Regarding ①②③, they are currently seen as positive factors.
Horizontal drift → There is room for an upward trend. There are no concerns about momentum or overbought levels.
・米半導体大手エヌビディア(NVDA.O), opens new tabは２８日、第３・四半期（８─１０月）の売上高が３２５億ドル（プラスマイナス２％）になると予想した。市場予想（３１７億７０００万ドル）とほぼ一致する水準にとどまり、株価は引け後の時間外取引で６％下落した。
☆ Candlestick chart (rating: 3/5)
Continuously forming positive candlesticks from the bottom.
It seems to be riding on a gentle upward trend.
☆ Chart pattern (Rating: 3/5)
There is potential for the formation of a double bottom. However, it may take some time to break the neckline.
☆Dow Theory (Rating: 3.5/5)
・From the downward trend factors since July, such as "①②③ hard landing concerns / Trump trade" and "④ yen carry trade unwinding concerns", there has been a transition from an upward to a downward trend. However, the decrease in the unemployment rate and a moderate rate cut by the FRB have been perceived positively and led to an increase.
・Currently, it is in a state where the downward trend factors such as "①②③ hard landing concerns / Trump trade" and "④ yen carry trade unwinding concerns" are hindering, and a trend reversal strong enough to cancel out the highs of ①②③ is necessary for a new high. Concerning ①②③, they were temporarily resolved due to Powell's statement and Harris' dominance, while regarding ④, the Bank of Japan has indicated a status quo in monetary policy on 9/20 (postponement of interest rate hike and a wait-and-see approach to the market for interest rate hike).
→As an immediate target, it is urgent to break through the standard of the purple square.Regarding ①②③, they are currently appearing as positive factors.
Moving average x volume moving average (Rating: 3.5/5)
・Moving average line: The candlestick chart has risen to the 5-day moving average line. It seems that a golden cross will occur at the 5/21-day moving average line (3.5/5).
・Volume moving average line: The short-term/medium-term moving average lines are in a consolidation phase. The volume ended on 9/20 with a selling trend (2.5/5).
There seems to be room for further increase. There is no directional indication in terms of volume.
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo x DMI (Rating: 2/5)
- Ichimoku Kinko Hyo: The three major roles are reversing. There are no indications of twisted clouds or improvements in roles (1/5).
- DMI: Cross occurred with MDI/ADX (sideways descent → trend reversal?). PDI is likely to be trending upward (3/5).
→ Currently in a downtrend, but it appears to be on the verge of a trend reversal.
☆ BOLL × RSI × MACD (Rating: 3.1/5)
- BOLL: In a bullish state. It doesn't seem to have reached +1σ yet (2.5/5).
RSI is fluctuating around 50. It is at an appropriate level regarding overbought conditions. (3/5)
MACD: A golden cross occurred on 9/13. It is gradually rising. (4/5)
Expectations for future momentum are promising.No issues regarding overbought conditions.
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.
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ぴるさん OP : I feel like the downsides of leveraged etfs are coming out this time.![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
J_M_RIN ぴるさん OP : 私みたいな短期で物事考えられない凡人は、下がったら買い増しして保有するしかないっす![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
でもそれが私の断固としたスタイルなので貫きます![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")