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Is a big market correction the target? Wall Street's carefully selected 'big comeback target' is semiconductor stocks.

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moomooニュース米国株 wrote a column · Aug 15 07:50
Investors who are skeptical of AI performance expectations have been warning that there is a bubble in semiconductor stocks that have benefited from the AI boom, particularly star stocks that have expanded globally since 2023. Currently, the correction of global semiconductor stocks has come to a halt, and ahead of NVIDIA's important earnings announcement,The valuation of AI-related stocks has also returned to relatively reasonable levels.Therefore, the high-tech bulls,believe that most of the 'AI bubble' has been deflated by this adjustment.and are confident (meaning that with this decline, AI-related stocks that cannot generate profits despite taking advantage of the AI boom have been mostly eliminated). In the market, high-tech companies that can consistently profit during the AI boom are expected to enter a new 'upward trend'.Semi-conductor bulls expect to enter a new 'upward trend' while selecting.the 'time has come again to return to the field of artificial intelligence (AI)'. High-tech bulls believe.The time has come to return to the field of artificial intelligence (AI) again."I think.
AI熱冷める中、「YOLO」たち再び投資チャンスをつかむ!AI熱狂の再燃に賭ける
世界的な資金はすでにハイテク株、特にAI半導体株に戻り始めており、これらの株は明らかな反発の兆しを見せている。 中でもデータセンター向けAIチップを独占する $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$株は、8月の安値から17%以上も急反発.
実際、ここ数週間の暴落は、多くの押し目狙いの投資家を集めている。ヘッジファンドから個人投資家に至るまで、多くの業界関係者は依然として人工知能(AI)の長期的な発展に期待しており、I am trying to build a position before NVIDIA's earnings announcement on August 28th.Especially,The "YOLO" investors, aggressive investors who have the investment philosophy of "You Only Live Once," have recently been buying popular semiconductor stocks that will benefit from AI after 2023. The "YOLO" investors seem to be betting that this correction will be a "once-in-a-lifetime opportunity" to buy AI-based semiconductor stocks like NVIDIA at a low price.Spear Invest's founder and chief investment officer, Ivanana Delevska, stated that now that the technical selling pressure has subsided, the focus is once again on fundamentals.become a "once-in-a-lifetime opportunity" to buy AI-based semiconductor stocks like NVIDIA at a low price.It seems that the "YOLO" investors are betting on that.
Spear Invest's founder and chief investment officer, Ivanana Delevska, stated that now that the technical selling pressure has subsided, the focus is once again on fundamentals.Spear Invest's founder and chief investment officer, Ivanana Delevska, stated that now that the technical selling pressure has subsided, the focus is once again on fundamentals. uncomfortably close.
Is the abnormal divergence between VIX and corporate bond spreads continuing to rebound?
Also, $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$Based on the correlation between VIX and the option-adjusted spread of the Bloomberg US corporate bond index, when VIX approached 39 last week, the corporate bond spread (the yield difference between corporate bonds and risk-free bonds, usually US Treasuries) should have been 3.5%. However, the spread fell well below expectations and remained at 1.32%. Bloomberg's strategists suggest that this difference is a recent technical market downturn and does not indicate an economic collapse. In fact, in the past, such divergences have often resulted in above-average returns in the stock market over the next 3-6 months.This difference is due to recent market decline being technical in nature, suggesting it does not signify an economic collapse.It is suggested that this difference is a recent technical market downturn and does not indicate an economic collapse.In fact, such divergences often result in above-average returns in the stock market over the next 3-6 months.Is this abnormal divergence between VIX and corporate bond spreads continuing to rebound?
BofA's analysts also mentioned thatWe can expect a rebound in semiconductor stocks in the fourth quarter when the seasonal headwinds ease.Looking back at historical data, it is pointed out that the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) may turn to a rebound from October. Since 2010, the average return of the index in the fourth quarter and first quarter is 7% to 10.5%, about 400 basis points higher than the S&P 500.Is it a good opportunity now? Semiconductor stocks selected by Wall Street for a "big comeback"So, are about 400 basis points higher than the S&P500.
Is it time to strike back? Semiconductor stocks selected by Wall Street for a "big comeback"
After the plunge on August 5th, major Wall Street banks such as Bank of America, Citi, JP Morgan, and Piper Sandler took the lead.They recommended semiconductor stocks and selected them as the top picks for buying on dips.Among them, Nvidia was recommended by most major banks, and Micron Technology has about 68% upside potential from its target stock price.Approximately 68%There is a significant upside potential.
Is a big market correction the target? Wall Street's carefully selected 'big comeback target' is semiconductor stocks.
City has chosen Micron as a top pick, as the DRAM market becomes more concentrated.
City has faced recent selling pressure. $Micron Technology (MU.US)$and other companiesThe time has come to strengthen investment.and pointed out,Micron is our top pickwe expect consolidation in the DRAM market and continuing tight supply. We also recommend buying AMD, Broadcom, KLA Corporation, etc. $Analog Devices (ADI.US)$ $Microchip Technology (MCHP.US)$We also rate stocks such as AMD, Broadcom, KLA Corporation as 'buy'.
The price of DRAM in the third quarter is expected to exceed expectations due to production capacity reduction, and the trend of price increases is expected to continue. Micron is our top pick stock and now is the time to buy more, emphasized.
We expect DRAM prices to rise by about 15% in the third quarter of 2024, exceeding expectations. The DRAM market continues to improve, and we expect DRAM prices in 2024 to increase by 62% compared to the previous year. This is due to limited supply growth and memory manufacturers allocating production capacity to HBM.
Is a big market correction the target? Wall Street's carefully selected 'big comeback target' is semiconductor stocks.
The most profitable supplier! BofA's top picks in the semiconductor industry are NVIDIA, Broadcom, KLA
Bank of America has listed the top picks in the semiconductor sectorTop Picksand could become a short-term safe haven. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ $KLA Corp (KLAC.US)$and the reason for it in each subsector being the most profitable supplierthe most profitable supplierLarge chip manufacturers with a high proportion of data center businesses, such as NVIDIA and Broadcom, are in a more advantageous position because major cloud computing companies like Microsoft and Amazon are expected to continue expanding their infrastructure spending.
In addition, BofA analysts point out that companies like Micron Technology and KLA Corporation, which are partners of NVIDIA, have the ability to rapidly expand their revenue to meet unexpected increases in demand, and are particularly well positioned to benefit. $Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$However, if the demand is weaker than expected, semiconductor stocks such as Broadcom and Intel are highlighted based on past performance. $ON Semiconductor (ON.US)$However, if the demand is weaker than expected, semiconductor stocks such as Broadcom and Intel are highlighted based on past performance. However, if the demand is weaker than expected, semiconductor stocks such as Broadcom and Intel are highlighted based on past performance. However, if the demand is weaker than expected, semiconductor stocks such as Broadcom and Intel are highlighted based on past performance. $Synopsys (SNPS.US)$ $Cadence Design Systems (CDNS.US)$However, if the demand is weaker than expected, semiconductor stocks such as Broadcom and Intel are highlighted based on past performance.
Is a big market correction the target? Wall Street's carefully selected 'big comeback target' is semiconductor stocks.
●AMD、Piper Sandlerが「トップ・ピック」に選定 AIで飛躍
Piper Sandlerは、伝統的なサーバー市場での急速なシェア拡大を理由に、 $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$を「Top Picks」として位置づけている。アナリストのHarsh Kumarは、AMDに「強気」評価を与え、目標株価を175ドルに設定し、今年下半期に最も強気の大型半導体株に挙げている。
Kumarは、AMDのPCと伝統的なサーバー分野の成長見通しには強気だが、人工知能は今やAMDのストーリーの中心にあると指摘した。Kumarのレポートによると、AMDは既に100社以上の人工知能プロセッサの顧客を抱えており、その大半が2024年後半に採用を拡大する見込みだという。また、AMDの主力チップであるMI300が好調で、売上高は4 billionドルを超える見込みである。
AMD has also announced the release of a series of new chips, including MI325 (scheduled for the second half of this year), MI350 (scheduled for next year), and MI400 (scheduled for 2026). Mr. Kumarsuggested that MI350 will compete with NVIDIA's Blackwell series.andMI400 will compete against NVIDIA's next-generation chip, "Rubin".TSMC, a leading indicator in the semiconductor industry! Chosen as Morgan Stanley's "top pick".
Is a big market correction the target? Wall Street's carefully selected 'big comeback target' is semiconductor stocks.
Morgan Stanley considers that TSMC's stock price has become more attractive after the recent correction.
Morgan S's stock price has become more attractive recently. $Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$Morgan Stanley has selected TSMC as their "top pick".Top PicksMorgan Stanley analyst Charlie Chan and others said, "We feel the strength of the quality and defensiveness of TSMC shares in the long down cycle of semiconductors."
TSMC is a chip maker chosen by NVIDIA and AMD, and is also the sole processor supplier for Apple's iPhone.It is considered an important indicator of AI demand.TSMC announced its earnings for the second quarter of 2024 last month, with core financial indicators recording double-digit growth compared to the same period last year and the previous quarter.It also raised its full-year growth outlook.andrecorded double-digit growth.
Is a big market correction the target? Wall Street's carefully selected 'big comeback target' is semiconductor stocks.
Source: Bloomberg, The Motley Fool, Yahoo Finance, Seeking Alpha, moomoo
This article uses auto-translation in part.
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Is a big market correction the target? Wall Street's carefully selected 'big comeback target' is semiconductor stocks.
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