Is Gao Feng 100?

Arsoni5t : The current pricing is based on the half probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September, and the half probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. If 50 basis points settle down, it is already 98. If 50 basis points settle down, it will rush up a few more points. Interest rates will continue to be cut later, and TLT will continue to rise. Referring to the previous peak when interest rates were low, it was over 160

我也暗示 OP Arsoni5t : I understand what you're saying. What I mean is that if we keep current interest rates unchanged until September and a half, for almost a month, will we have to fluctuate sideways between 95 and 100 during this month? For example, when interest rates were cut on September 15, the increase broke through 100 on the 1st.

Arsoni5t 我也暗示 OP : It's hard to say... if there were another problem with the economy before the interest rate hike, people have already begun to bet on whether they will add another 50 basis points in November, then it will easily break through 100. I don't recommend playing in the short term. If you enter the market now, it's still quite stable to hold for at least half a year

我也暗示 OP Arsoni5t : Understood, what is rising now is the expectation of future interest rate cuts. It is also possible that at the end of August, when they know that interest rates will be cut in September, they will directly break through 100. Who knows?

Arsoni5t 我也暗示 OP : That's itIf 90% of the market bets 50 points, you don't agree, go short a wave more than once at 100, and wait until the Federal Reserve says 25 points, then you will double your profit

我也暗示 OP Arsoni5t : I'm in Turkey and Macau. The market opens at 11:00 p.m., and I also work in hospitals during the day. No matter how long I have time to keep an eye on the market, I just wanted to see some tickets that I could get for about a year. I bought this one, and I also wanted to take advantage of Google being manipulated by anti-monopoly to break the bottom.

Arsoni5t 我也暗示 OP : There is absolutely nothing wrong with this operation. Hold it for a year and enter the US stock market at a low price