$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$$Direxion Daily...
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$ $Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF(TMF.US$ Market indicators are signaling a shift in the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy starting in March 2024. Trading patterns of futures contracts show a clear expectation for rate cuts, with a notable decrease of 1.5 percentage points by the end of 2024 compared to current levels. These cuts are seen as a response to anticipated economic conditions.
Despite a common expectation of rate reductions, there's a divergence in the magnitude and timing of these cuts. Some analysts predict aggressive cuts totaling 275 basis points or 2.75% as early as March, aligned with recession forecasts for the U.S. economy. In contrast, the June 2024 SOFR futures are more conservative, pricing in at least one rate cut with a 76% probability for two 25-basis-point reductions.
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