Lesson
$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF.US)$ In the middle of re-holding for risk hedging. However, in the scenario where the market significantly increases, stocks, especially high-tech stocks, will be heavily affected.
However, the recent gambling sentiment in the market is amazing. It is truly the end stage when inexperienced investors put the majority of their assets into leverage, or when they use leverage for long-term RSP. It is easy to understand that most people end up significantly underperforming the S&P 500.
I think we can understand why few experienced investors like Buffett have survived by looking at their investment styles.
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.
Read more
Comment
Sign in to post a comment
素人投資家です
コアはS&P500で個別やレバレッジETFは基本短期売買
インフルエンサーを気取る気はありませんので、あしからず
244Followers
1Following
1061Visitors
Follow
Stad : I understood that both TMF software and hardware would rise if there was a rate cut, even though a hard landing would lead to a big surge (of course, a hard landing would lead to a huge upsurge). But it has been fluctuating around $55-60, and today it dropped quite a percentage. Is the flow going towards individual stocks?
アマチュア投資家 OP Stad : It is a misconception that no matter which way things go, it will rise. For the FRB, the ideal scenario is to gradually and slowly adjust the policy interest rate over many years, so if that is successful, I don't think bonds will see the light of day for a long time. Also, when the inverted yield curve is resolved, long-term bonds tend to be sold, so this is also a textbook move. Right now, I think the sharp drop is due to the easing of the sharp interest rate cuts being unwound.
The economic data is starting to weaken, so at least for now, I think the downside is limited. The biggest risk is the resurgence of inflation, but that also depends on the data, so it's hard to say. It's clear how difficult the FRB's navigation is.
With leverage in place, you have to be prepared for some degree of risk, including decreasing leverage. I don't think taking on too much position is a good idea, but I personally think there are still plenty of volatile elements in the market, so there might be opportunities.
Stad アマチュア投資家 OP : Thank you for the easy-to-understand explanation. If the interest rate cut doesn't come all at once, there will be no ultimate benefit. No wonder Chairman Powell will be cautious.