Let's consider one disgusting possibility
As far as I can see the atmosphere up until now, there is no feeling that the economy is about to collapse rapidly. Powell doesn't feel like he's about to destroy it quickly either. Mr. Powell assumes that they are aiming for possibility 4, and in that case, he thinks that virtual currency will continue to be adjusted softly while the interest rate cut period is unknown. Looking at the world situation, it seems that they are aiming for possibility 2, but it is unclear whether virtual currency will rise in this case. Possibility 1 is when Russia and China run amok, and if it doesn't happen so far, the surest place is still when Mr. Trump wins, they will have to wait until November, but I wonder if it's safer to secure some amount of cash to buy more at the end of 2024, and I wonder if they can miss it. After that, it might be safer to go in after definitely exceeding 74,000.
Possibility 1: The war will intensify, prices will rapidly rise, interest rates will rise, and the economy will deteriorate rapidly → after a brief sharp rise in the dollar, a rapid depreciation of the dollar?
Possibility 2: Global government factions will drastically change, and the economy will cool rapidly → moderate depreciation of the dollar? and a sense of uncertainty?
Possibility 3: Trump will win and push for an economic reset → rapid depreciation of the dollar?
Possibility 4: As the economy cools down moderately, interest rates will be cut moderately → moderate depreciation of the dollar?
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