Long Anticipated Recession
Many recession indicators have been flashing for longer than usual. I've been holding SGOV and selling put options on TLT for the past year or so and that strategy mostly paid off. If you got into TLT on the cheap, holding it might be your best way to hedge against the recession.
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Huat Biggest : Despite interest rate reduce on Sep, Beware factors that cause TLT to drawback such as War, inflation resurface, disappointment on Fed Interest reduction..
Arsoni5t OP Huat Biggest : I agree, which is why no one should go all in on TLT
Huat Biggest : Full agreed
Angel40116 : according to the SAHM rule there is no recession coming
Arsoni5t OP Angel40116 : lol you sure?
Huat Biggest Angel40116 : Maybe u r using the Eastern version which is inversely proportional to Western version
Tesla 1st Huat Biggest : As you mentioned, the probability is relatively low... then the pullback is an opportunity to get on the bus... Will selling US bonds abroad cause TLT to fall? thanks