$Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr (N2IU.SG)$ $Direxion Daily 20+ Yea...

104238715 : 35% is a big portion, how much tmf you holding?

R6 Peng OP 104238715 : 1,500 shares, which is the maximum risk range I can currently take. N2IU is a conservative, low-risk blue-chip stock in my portfolio, and I plan to hold it for a long time. In addition, I also invested in medium- to low-risk bond ETFs in other accounts as targets for medium term holding. TMF, on the other hand, is entirely a short-term operational goal. I judged that July's CPI would be in line with expectations or better based on previously released economic data, and interest rates should not be cut immediately after the FOMC meeting, but it will release dovish information. The chances of TMF rising far outweigh the chance of falling too much, so I bought in batches in the past week, and then completely cleared the position early this morning to get some pocket money
“Market expectations” play a significant role in US bonds. This can be explained by the fact that the high interest rate of 5.5% has continued for a long time, but the 10-year yield on US bonds can be reduced from a maximum of about 5% to a minimum of about 3.7%, and then remained flat at 4.3% for a while. There was no change in the FED interest rate during this period. Therefore, my previous assessment was that with the market expecting an interest rate cut of 2-3 yards this year, the 10-year US Treasury yield is likely to drop to 4%, but until September, unless there is an astonishing change in the CPI/PCE/Big Nonprofit figures, it may still change between 3.9% and 4.4% in the next two months. The above is my previous thought process. It is for reference only, not investment advice.