Market cycle and ViX (super important)
First, here's a comparison chart of the VIX Index and SP500 from 2010![]()
The blue line above is the Vix32 line, and the bottom line is the ViX14 line; it's obvious at a glance that when ViX goes up, the SP500 goes down, and when it goes down, the SP500 goes up![]()
In a bear market cycle, ViX may show 32 or more, and furthermore, it does not show 14 or less![]()
You can see that the bear market cycle has been going on for around 2 years
In a bull market cycle, ViX does not show 32 or more, and it is necessary to show a value of 14 or less, once it is above the 32 line, but it is not a bear market, so it is not a bear market, and we know that the bull market lasts an average of about 7 years, and as you can see, it was around this time that ViX showed 14 or less last year, when ViX 14 or less was shown, finally here The reason for saying that the long lasting bull market has just begun is this explanation for me when using ViX![]()
I think you can also see from this graph that the current ViX is historically low![]()
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ジョモりん OP : Additional note, as long as we have entered a bull market, I think a short-term sharp rise in ViX is a place to buy, and I am convinced that it is unlikely to rise above 32. If ViX starts to decline rapidly from here, I think there will even be a sharp rise in stock prices![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
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The reason I can deceive you is based on various data, so please use it as a reference only
チャートから : Thank you for sharing a very easy to understand point of view using objective data