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Market Uncertainty Looms Ahead of Japan and US Elections

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Trader’s Edge wrote a column · Oct 25 10:51
Market Uncertainty Looms Ahead of Japan and US Elections
US Market Key Charts (S&P, US Dollar, Gold)
$E-mini S&P 500 Futures(MAR5) (ESmain.US)$ (4 Hour Chart) -[BULLISH↗ *]We continue to maintain our bullish directional bias as we expect price to continue pushing towards 5865 resistance level. A 4 hour candlestick closing above 5865 resistance level would open next push towards 5930 resistance level. Technical indicators have yet to display a bullish momentum.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick opening below 5810 support level could open drop towards 5790 support level.

$USD (USDindex.FX)$ (4 Hour Chart) -[BEARISH ↘ *]We continue to maintain our bearish directional bias as we expect price to continue dropping towards 103.881 support level. Technical indicators are leaning towards a bearish scenario. A 4 hour candlestick closing below 103.881 support would open next drop towards 103.654 support level.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick closing above 104.437 resistance level wouldopennext push towards 104.745 resistance level.

$Gold Futures(FEB5) (GCmain.US)$ (4 Hour Chart) -[BULLISH↗ **]We continue our bullish directional bias as price is holding above ascending trendline support. As long as price holds above 2730 support level, we expect price to take a pause at ascending trendline support before pushing for 2755 resistance level. Technical indicators are leaning towards a bullish scenario as well.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick closing below 2730 support level would open next drop towards 2700 support.
NIKKEI 225 / TOPIX IndexFutures
$Nikkei 225 (.N225.JP)$ (4 Hour Chart) -[BEARISH ↘ *]We turn bearish as price drifted lower last night. Price is currently forming a descending channel and we expect price to hold below 38110 resistance level. We expect price to drift lower towards 37500 support level. Technical indicators are leaning towards a bearish scenario.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick closing above 38110 resistance level would next push towards 38400 resistance level.
HSI IndexFutures
$HSI Futures(DEC4) (HSImain.HK)$ (4 Hour Chart) -[NEUTRAL]We turn neutral as there is currently no good risk-reward ratio. Prices are hovering between 20920 resistance and 20270 support level. A 4 hour candlestick closing above 20920 resistance would open next push towards 21600 resistance level. Technical indicators are mixed.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick closing below 0270 port level would open next drop towards 19870 support level.
SG Market - STI
$FTSE Singapore Straits Time Index (.STI.SG)$ (4 Hour Chart) -[BULLISH↗ *]We continue to stay bullish as long as price holds above 3570 support level. We expect price to drift towards 3640 resistance level. A 4 hour candlestick closing above 3640 resistance level would open the next push towards 3700 resistance level. Technical indicators are mixed, with MACD leaning towards a bullish scenario.
Alternatively: A 4 hour candlestick closing below 3570 support level would open next drop towards 3535 support level.
Summary - What Is Happening In The Markets
US markets closed higher last night, with $E-mini S&P 500 Futures(MAR5) (ESmain.US)$ and $E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(MAR5) (NQmain.US)$ edging higher by 0.19% and 0.79% respectively. This comes after initial jobless claims and new home sales data, which both perform above analyst expectations. $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ climbed the most by 21.92%, after strong earnings reports this quarter and forecasting 20% to 30% sales growth for the following year. Traders could look towards durable goods order and michigan consumer sentiment data released tonight.

Asian markets open mixed today morning. $Nikkei 225 (.N225.JP)$ pushed lower by 0.63%. There is continued risk-off sentiment among traders as markets are currently pricing in the risks that ruling Liberal Democratic Party and its junior coalition partner Komeito may lose lower house majority this Sunday. $HSI Futures(DEC4) (HSImain.HK)$ edged up by 0.40%, mirroring the US indices. Tech, consumer durables and consumer services advanced the most. Among other stocks, $XINYI SOLAR (00968.HK)$ climbed the most by 10.31%. Traders should exercise caution after IMF's lowered projection of GDP growth, and the increasing US-China tech war regardless of the elected candidate of the US presidential battle. $FTSE Singapore Straits Time Index (.STI.SG)$ drifted marginally lower by 0.29% this morning. REITs sector saw the most weakness, with $Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr (N2IU.SG)$ dropping the most by 4.96%. Traders should keep an eye out for CPI data released later.
Prepared by:
Moomoo Singapore
Isaac Lim CMT, CFTe
Chief Market Strategist
This report is provided for informational and general circulation purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation for the purchase or sale of securities, futures, or other investment products. It does not take into consideration any particular needs of any person. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
For full disclaimers, please visithttps://www.moomoo.com/sg/support/topic5_935.
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only. Read more
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