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September new jobs higher than expected, is this a 'soft landing' ?
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Markets Brace for Key CPI Data, Fed Insights, and Earnings Kickoff

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U.S. markets await crucial CPI data and Fed minutes this week
U.S. markets await crucial CPI data and Fed minutes this week
In the upcoming week, investors will closely monitor several key events impacting financial markets, especially U.S. inflation data, Federal Reserve meeting minutes, and corporate earnings.

U.S. CPI and Inflation Data

The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September, set to be released on Thursday, is anticipated to reflect a moderation in inflation, potentially reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain its current rate stance. This data follows the release of a strong jobs report last Friday, which indicated a robust labor market. If inflation appears to be slowing, it may support the Fed’s goal of bringing it closer to the 2% target.
Investor focus on inflation trends and geopolitical risks impacting global financial stability
Investor focus on inflation trends and geopolitical risks impacting global financial stability
Fed Meeting Minutes and Interest Rate Outlook

The Federal Reserve will release the minutes from its September meeting on Wednesday, providing insights into policymakers’ thoughts on future rate cuts. In their recent meeting, the Fed implemented a 50-basis-point cut, and the minutes may reveal the factors behind this decision. Remarks from Fed officials, including Neel Kashkari and Raphael Bostic, are also expected this week, adding further clarity to the Fed’s economic outlook.
Major banks reporting results that may highlight consumer demand trends
Major banks reporting results that may highlight consumer demand trends
Corporate Earnings Season Begins

The U.S. third-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, with major banks like $JPMorgan (JPM.US)$, $Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.US)$, and $Blackrock (BLK.US)$ reporting results on Friday. These reports will offer a snapshot of consumer demand, loan activity, and the broader economic environment. Additionally, results from $PepsiCo (PEP.US)$ and $Delta Air Lines (DAL.US)$ are anticipated, providing insights into sectors like consumer goods and travel. Investors will closely analyze these earnings as $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ approaches record highs.
Rising oil prices driven by Middle East tensions add pressure
Rising oil prices driven by Middle East tensions add pressure
Oil Prices Amid Geopolitical Tensions

Oil prices experienced significant gains last week, with $Brent Last Day Financial Futures(JAN5) (BZmain.US)$ rising over 8% and $Crude Oil Futures(DEC4) (CLmain.US)$ up 9.1%, marking their largest weekly increases since early 2023. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have been a primary driver, with concerns about potential supply disruptions if the conflict escalates. President Biden has discouraged Israel from targeting Iranian oil facilities, a measure aimed at controlling further price increases.
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